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Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Rising Summer Demand, WTI at $81.65

By: 
Arslan Ali
Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Rising Summer Demand, WTI at $81.65

Key Points:

  • Oil prices remained stable on Tuesday, awaiting U.S. consumer price data.
  • U.S. gasoline demand is rising, and oil stockpiles are decreasing.
  • Geopolitical tensions and U.S. rate decisions continue to support oil prices.

Market Overview

Oil prices remained stable on Tuesday after gains on Monday, as investors awaited U.S. consumer price data. The market is buoyed by rising summer demand, with U.S. gasoline demand increasing and oil stockpiles decreasing.

Last week, both oil benchmarks rose around 3%, marking two consecutive weeks of gains. A Reuters poll indicated U.S. crude oil stockpiles likely fell by 3 million barrels for the week ending June 21.

Analyst Tina Teng noted the oil price surge was driven by optimistic demand outlooks and reduced U.S. inventories. However, concerns about high interest rates potentially limiting fuel consumption and economic growth remain.

The market is also watching U.S. personal consumption expenditures data for clues on Federal Reserve rate decisions. Additionally, geopolitical tensions, including Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil infrastructure and EU sanctions on Russia, support oil prices.

Natural Gas (NG) Price Chart
Natural Gas (NG) Price Chart

Natural Gas (NG) is trading at $2.823, down 0.07%. The pivot point is at $2.81. Immediate resistance levels are $2.88, $2.94, and $3.00. Support levels are $2.76, $2.72, and $2.65.The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $2.82, and the 200-day EMA is at $2.65, suggesting a bullish trend above these levels.

In conclusion, NG remains bullish above $2.81. A break below this level could trigger a sharp selling trend, so traders should monitor these key levels closely for informed decisions.

WTI Oil Price Forecast

WTI Price Chart
WTI Price Chart

USOIL is trading at $81.65, down 0.07%. Key levels to watch include the pivot point at $81.51. Immediate resistance is at $82.06, $82.55, and $83.05. Support levels are $81.06, $80.23, and $79.52.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $80.03, and the 200-day EMA is at $78.93, suggesting a bullish trend above these levels.

In conclusion, USOIL remains bullish above $81.51. A break below this level could trigger a sharp selling trend, so traders should monitor these key levels closely for informed decisions.

Brent Oil Price Forecast

Natural Gas Price Forecast

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See all Natural Gas forecasts
Brent Price Chart
Brent Price Chart

UKOIL is trading at $85.18, down 0.01%. The pivot point is at $85.02. Immediate resistance levels are $85.54, $86.05, and $86.59. Support levels are $84.43, $83.82, and $83.28.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $84.16, and the 200-day EMA is at $83.20, suggesting a bullish trend above these levels.

In conclusion, UKOIL remains bullish above $85.02. A break below this level could trigger a sharp selling trend, so traders should monitor these key levels closely for informed decisions.

About the Author

Arslan AliTechnical Analysis Expert

Arslan is a finance MBA and also holds an MPhil degree in behavioral finance. An expert in financial analysis and investor psychology, Arslan uses his academic background to bring valuable insights about market sentiment and whether instruments are likely to be overbought or oversold.

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