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Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Rising Tensions Push Prices Up Over 4%

By:
Arslan Ali
Updated: Apr 5, 2024, 10:00 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Geopolitical tensions and supply concerns drive oil prices to new highs, signaling market tightness.
  • Natural Gas faces bearish pressure, with pivotal technical levels suggesting potential trend shifts.
  • Brent and WTI Oil forecasts remain bullish, contingent on overcoming key resistance markers.
Energy Recap

In this article:

Market Overview

Oil prices are rising, influenced by geopolitical unrest in Europe and the Middle East, and constrained supply, amid growing optimism for global fuel demand.

Brent and WTI have surged over 4% this week, with prices reaching their highest since October due to potential supply disruptions from Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries and Iran’s vow for retaliation against Israel.

OPEC+ maintains output cuts, further straining supply. With global oil demand up by 1.4 million bpd in Q1, market tightness is expected, possibly leading to inventory reductions in Q2.

Natural Gas Price Forecast

Brent Price Chart
Brent Price Chart

Natural Gas (NG) experienced a decline, trading at $1.843, a decrease of 0.91%. The technical outlook reveals a pivot point at $1.8495, with resistance levels at $1.8806, $1.9189, and $1.9468, suggesting potential upward pressure.

Support is found at $1.8194, with further support at $1.7647 and $1.7193, indicating critical junctures for price stabilization. The 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages, at $1.8601 and $1.8828 respectively, signal a near-term bearish trend.

However, crossing above the pivot point of $1.8495 could indicate a shift towards a bullish trend, marking a pivotal moment for NG’s market direction.

WTI Oil Price Forecast

WTI Price Chart
WTI Price Chart

About the Author

Arslan, a webinar speaker and derivatives analyst, has an MBA in Finance and MPhil in Behavioral Finance. He guides financial analysis, trading, and cryptocurrency forecasting. Expert in trading psychology and sentiment.

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