Advertisement
Advertisement

Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: WTI Consolidates Near Trendline, Brent Stuck in Tight Range

By:
Arslan Ali
Published: Sep 15, 2025, 05:23 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • WTI crude oil steadies at $63.05 as refinery strike sparks fears of tighter supplies and fresh sanctions.
  • OPEC+ output growth and slowing U.S. demand cap oil’s upside, raising the risk of a looming global surplus.
  • Natural gas holds $2.97 but momentum weakens; traders eye $3.06 breakout or drop toward $2.81–$2.69.
Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: WTI Consolidates Near Trendline, Brent Stuck in Tight Range

Market Overview

WTI crude oil futures climbed to $63.05 per barrel Monday as geopolitical tensions renewed concerns over potential supply disruptions. A recent strike on a major refinery with a capacity of 355,000 barrels per day heightened fears of reduced output and stricter sanctions.

Still, gains were tempered by slowing U.S. demand and expectations of a global surplus as OPEC+ boosts production.

The market now sits at a crossroads, balancing near-term risks to supply with longer-term headwinds from rising inventories, leaving energy traders closely monitoring whether demand or disruption proves the stronger driver in coming weeks.

Natural Gas Price Forecast

Natural Gas (NG) Price Chart

Natural gas is trading at $2.97, holding just above an ascending trendline that has supported price since late August. The 50-period EMA at $3.01 and the 200-period EMA at $3.07 are overhead, creating a resistance zone that bulls must clear to confirm further upside.

Immediate support sits at $2.89, followed by $2.81, while resistance levels stand at $3.06 and $3.14. The RSI is near 44, showing weak momentum but not yet oversold.

A break above $3.06 could signal recovery toward $3.14–$3.21, while failure to hold $2.89 risks a deeper move toward $2.81 or $2.69. Traders remain cautious around these levels.

WTI Oil Price Forecast

WTI Price Chart

WTI crude oil is trading at $63.05, struggling to push beyond the descending trendline drawn from earlier September highs. The 50-period EMA at $63.09 is acting as immediate resistance, while the 200-period EMA at $64.07 remains a key barrier above.

Support sits at $62.42, followed by a stronger floor at $61.53. Recent candles show indecision, with buyers defending dips but failing to build momentum. The RSI at 51 suggests neutral conditions, neither overbought nor oversold.

A close above $63.50 could encourage a move toward $64.00, while a break below $62.42 risks a retest of $61.50. Traders remain cautious until confirmation.

Brent Oil Price Forecast

Brent Price Chart

Brent crude oil is trading at $67.35, consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle pattern that has narrowed price action. The 50-period EMA at $66.96 and the 200-period EMA at $67.41 are almost overlapping, reinforcing indecision and signaling that a breakout is approaching.

Resistance sits at $67.76 and $68.49, while support is seen at $66.74 and $65.73. The RSI is currently near 55, pointing to balanced momentum without clear overbought or oversold conditions.

A close above $67.76 could drive prices toward $68.50 and $69.55, while a breakdown below $66.74 risks a slide toward $65.73. Traders are watching for confirmation from volume to validate the next move.

About the Author

Arslan is a finance MBA and also holds an MPhil degree in behavioral finance. An expert in financial analysis and investor psychology, Arslan uses his academic background to bring valuable insights about market sentiment and whether instruments are likely to be overbought or oversold.

Advertisement