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Natural Gas Monthly Fundamental Forecast December 2012

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 21, 2015, 00:00 UTC

Outlook and Recommendation Natural Gas tumbled after hitting recent highs to close the month at 3.579. This month prices were inflated to trade at 3.99

Natural Gas Monthly Fundamental Forecast December 2012

Natural Gas Monthly Fundamental Forecast December 2012
Natural Gas Monthly Fundamental Forecast December 2012
Outlook and Recommendation

Natural Gas tumbled after hitting recent highs to close the month at 3.579. This month prices were inflated to trade at 3.99 and then investors turned to dump the commodity to take profits as warmer weather and finished maintenance on nuclear plants eased demand.

Highest: 3.990

Lowest: 3.547

Difference: 0.443

Average: 3.758

Change %: -7.74

More and more noise is being heard on possible exports for natural gas which is helping to support the markets, but changes to natural gas for energy as still in the far off future, reports are now showing that natural gas will become a prime energy material.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.

Natural Gas Inventory (EIA): Working gas in storage was 3,877 Bcf as of Friday, November 23, 2012, according to EIA estimates. This represents a net increase of 4 Bcf from the previous week. Stocks were 26 Bcf higher than last year at this time and 190 Bcf above the 5-year average of 3,687 Bcf. In the East Region, stocks were 5 Bcf above the 5-year average following net withdrawals of 12 Bcf. Stocks in the Producing Region were 135 Bcf above the 5-year average of 1,152 Bcf after a net injection of 12 Bcf. Stocks in the West Region were 50 Bcf above the 5-year average after a net addition of 4 Bcf. At 3,877 Bcf, total working gas is above the 5-year historical range.

Economic Highlights of the coming week that affect the Euro, GBP, CHF and the USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

 Dec. 03

08:15

CHF

Retail Sales (YoY) 

4.1%

5.4%

 

08:30

CHF

SVME PMI 

47.0

46.1

 

15:00

USD

ISM Manufacturing Index 

51.3

51.7

Dec. 05

10:00

EUR

Retail Sales (MoM) 

-0.1%

-0.2%

 

13:15

USD

ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 

125K

158K

 

13:30

USD

Nonfarm Productivity (QoQ) 

2.7%

1.9%

 

13:30

USD

Unit Labor Costs (QoQ) 

-0.9%

-0.1%

 

15:00

USD

ISM Non-Manufacturing Index 

53.5

54.2

Dec. 06 

08:15

CHF

CPI (MoM) 

 

0.1%

 

09:30

GBP

Trade Balance 

-8.8B

-8.4B

 

10:00

EUR

GDP (QoQ) 

-0.1%

-0.1%

 

11:00

EUR

German Factory Orders (MoM) 

0.9%

-3.3%

 

12:00

GBP

Interest Rate Decision 

0.50%

0.50%

 

12:00

GBP

BOE QE Total 

375B

375B

 

12:45

EUR

Interest Rate Decision 

0.75%

0.75%

Dec. 07

09:30

GBP

Industrial Production (MoM) 

0.7%

-1.7%

 

09:30

GBP

Manufacturing Production (MoM) 

-0.2%

0.1%

 

09:30

GBP

Industrial Production (YoY) 

-0.6%

-2.6%

 

11:00

EUR

German Industrial Production (MoM) 

-0.5%

-1.8%

 

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