Oil Bulls Fight to Recover Lost Ground after Yesterday’s Reversal

Do they have any aces up their sleeves? The risk appetite is creeping back into the market and OPEC joined by Russia may support them…

On Monday, crude oil futures moved above the early June intraday highs only to give up all the gains and reverse sharply lower. The downside move closed the gap opened by Monday’s opening price (the upper green zone). The downswing also tested the lower gap created on Friday (the lower green zone).

Friday’s gap withstood the selling pressure and earlier today, the oil price is rebounding as it changes hands at around $53.95 currently.

Crude oil trades not only below the previously-broken late February and early-March lows, but also below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and inside the declining orange trend channel. It suggests that as long as there is no breakout above these resistances, further improvement is questionable and another move to the downside can’t be ruled out.

Summing up, yesterday’s bullish upswing gave way to bearish momentum and oil reversed lower. The bulls are attempting another move higher earlier today but the oil price is trading below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, still inside the declining orange trend channel. Unless we see breakout above the Feb-Mar 2019 lows, another move to the downside remains on the table.

Thank you.

Nadia Simmons
Forex & Oil Trading Strategist

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