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Precious Metals Fundamental Analysis – November 9, 2015 – Forecast – Gold, Silver & Platinum

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Nov 6, 2015, 14:12 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: Gold tanked after the release of a better than expected jobs report sending gold down $9.90 to 1094.30 falling below $1100

Precious Metals Fundamental Analysis – November 9, 2015 – Forecast – Gold, Silver & Platinum

Precious Metals Fundamental Analysis – November 9, 2015 - Forecast - Gold, Silver & Platinum
Precious Metals Fundamental Analysis – November 9, 2015 - Forecast - Gold, Silver & Platinum
Analysis and Recommendations:

Gold tanked after the release of a better than expected jobs report sending gold down $9.90 to 1094.30 falling below $1100 for the first time in months. Silver fell 138 points upon the release of the data and Platinum fell almost $9 to 944.45. The main driver behind the drop in prices must be the speeches of the Fed officials, driving the dollar higher and weighing on the wider commodity space.

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on Wednesday pointed to a possible December interest rate “liftoff”, sending the dollar surging to a three-month high.

A firmer dollar often curbs demand for commodities, making them more expensive for buyers outside the United States since they are priced in the US currency.

The U.S. economy created 271,000 new jobs in October to mark the biggest gain of the year, pushing the unemployment rate down to a seven year-low of 5%. Hourly wages also rose at the fastest year-over-year pace since 2009. The stellar October labor report suggests a slowdown in job creation toward the end of summer was temporary, and it raises the odds of the Federal Reserve lifting interest rates before the end of 2015. Economists polled by MarketWatch had expected a gain of 180,000 nonfarm jobs. Employment gains for August and September were revised up by a combined 12,000, the Labor Department also said Friday. The government said 137,000 new jobs were created in September instead of 142,000. August’s gain was raised to 153,000 from 136,000.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  GBP

 

BoE Gov Carney Speaks  

 

 

 

 

 

  AUD

 

Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

 

 

 

 

 

  JPY

 

BoJ Governor Kuroda Speaks  

 

 

 

 

 

  EUR

 

German Industrial Production (MoM)

-1.1%

0.5%

-0.6%

   

  GBP

 

Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep)

-0.2%

-0.1%

0.9%

   

  GBP

 

Manufacturing Production (MoM)

0.8%

0.4%

0.4%

   

  GBP

 

Trade Balance (Sep)

-9.35B

-10.60B

-10.79B

   

  GBP

 

Trade Balance Non-EU (Sep)

-2.08B

-3.30B

-3.84B

   

  USD

 

FOMC Member Bullard Speaks  

 

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Oct)

 0.4%

0.2%

0.0%

 

 

  USD

 

Nonfarm Payrolls (Oct)

 271K

180K

137K

 

 

  USD

 

Participation Rate (Oct)

 62.4%

 

62.4%

 

 

  USD

 

Private Nonfarm Payrolls (Oct)

 268K

165K

149K

 

 

  USD

 

Unemployment Rate (Oct)

 5.0%

5.1%

5.1%

   

 

gold

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Monday, November 9, 2015

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  EUR

 

German Trade Balance (Sep)

 

20.0B

19.6B

 

 

  EUR

 

Eurogroup Meetings  

 

 

 

   

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Nov 09 12:00 Norway Details bond auction on 11 Nov

Nov 09 15:30 Italy Announces details of BTPs/CCTeu on 12 Nov

Nov 09 N/A US Holds 3-year note auction

Nov 10 10:30 UK 0.125% 2058 I/L Gilt auction

Nov 10 N/A Holland Eur 2.0-3.0bn 0% Apr 2018 DSL

Nov 10 N/A US Holds 10-year note auction

Nov 11 10:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Nov 11 11:15 Norway Holds bond auction

Nov 11 10:30 Germany Eur 3bn 0.25% Oct 2020 Bobl

Nov 12 10:10 Italy Auctions BTPs/CCTeus

Nov 12 10:30 UK 4.25% 2039 Gilt auction

Nov 12 N/A US Holds 30-year bond auction

 

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