Analysis and Recommendations: Gold tanked after the release of a better than expected jobs report sending gold down $9.90 to 1094.30 falling below $1100
Gold tanked after the release of a better than expected jobs report sending gold down $9.90 to 1094.30 falling below $1100 for the first time in months. Silver fell 138 points upon the release of the data and Platinum fell almost $9 to 944.45. The main driver behind the drop in prices must be the speeches of the Fed officials, driving the dollar higher and weighing on the wider commodity space.
Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on Wednesday pointed to a possible December interest rate “liftoff”, sending the dollar surging to a three-month high.
A firmer dollar often curbs demand for commodities, making them more expensive for buyers outside the United States since they are priced in the US currency.
The U.S. economy created 271,000 new jobs in October to mark the biggest gain of the year, pushing the unemployment rate down to a seven year-low of 5%. Hourly wages also rose at the fastest year-over-year pace since 2009. The stellar October labor report suggests a slowdown in job creation toward the end of summer was temporary, and it raises the odds of the Federal Reserve lifting interest rates before the end of 2015. Economists polled by MarketWatch had expected a gain of 180,000 nonfarm jobs. Employment gains for August and September were revised up by a combined 12,000, the Labor Department also said Friday. The government said 137,000 new jobs were created in September instead of 142,000. August’s gain was raised to 153,000 from 136,000.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Today’s economic releases:
Cur. |
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Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
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GBP |
BoE Gov Carney Speaks |
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AUD |
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes |
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JPY |
BoJ Governor Kuroda Speaks |
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EUR |
German Industrial Production (MoM) |
-1.1% |
0.5% |
-0.6% |
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GBP |
Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep) |
-0.2% |
-0.1% |
0.9% |
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GBP |
Manufacturing Production (MoM) |
0.8% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
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GBP |
Trade Balance (Sep) |
-9.35B |
-10.60B |
-10.79B |
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GBP |
Trade Balance Non-EU (Sep) |
-2.08B |
-3.30B |
-3.84B |
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USD |
FOMC Member Bullard Speaks |
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USD |
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Oct) |
0.4% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
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USD |
Nonfarm Payrolls (Oct) |
271K |
180K |
137K |
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USD |
Participation Rate (Oct) |
62.4% |
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62.4% |
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USD |
Private Nonfarm Payrolls (Oct) |
268K |
165K |
149K |
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USD |
Unemployment Rate (Oct) |
5.0% |
5.1% |
5.1% |
Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:
Monday, November 9, 2015
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
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EUR |
German Trade Balance (Sep) |
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20.0B |
19.6B |
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EUR |
Eurogroup Meetings |
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Government Bond Auctions
Date Time Country
Nov 09 12:00 Norway Details bond auction on 11 Nov
Nov 09 15:30 Italy Announces details of BTPs/CCTeu on 12 Nov
Nov 09 N/A US Holds 3-year note auction
Nov 10 10:30 UK 0.125% 2058 I/L Gilt auction
Nov 10 N/A Holland Eur 2.0-3.0bn 0% Apr 2018 DSL
Nov 10 N/A US Holds 10-year note auction
Nov 11 10:03 Sweden Holds bond auction
Nov 11 11:15 Norway Holds bond auction
Nov 11 10:30 Germany Eur 3bn 0.25% Oct 2020 Bobl
Nov 12 10:10 Italy Auctions BTPs/CCTeus
Nov 12 10:30 UK 4.25% 2039 Gilt auction
Nov 12 N/A US Holds 30-year bond auction