Moldova Interest Rate

The National Bank of Moldova cut its benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points to 5.0% on December 11, 2025, marking its third rate cut this year and extending its accommodative monetary policy stance. Annual inflation in November remained at 6.99%, above the central target of 5.0% ±1.5%, driven primarily by regulated and food prices. Inflation is expected to return to the target range in December and remain at the lower bound through Q1 2026. The economy continues to show positive growth, providing a supportive environment for policy easing. Industrial production in September grew 9.0% year-on-year, while exports and imports increased 23.1% and 21.2%, respectively. The external environment remains broadly stable, though risks persist from energy, food, and geopolitical factors. Overall, risks to inflation are skewed toward disinflation, reinforcing the need to maintain an accommodative policy stance to achieve medium-term inflation objectives.