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Amazon, Walmart and Target Forecast: Retail Stocks Test Key Levels

By
Christopher Lewis

Amazon, Walmart and Target test key technical levels ahead of the Fed, with AMZN and TGT near potential support while WMT faces 50-day EMA resistance.

AMZN Technical Analysis

Daily candlestick chart for Amazon showing pre-market price at $249.10 testing the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level below the 50-day EMA of $255.61.
Daily price chart for Amazon showing shares testing support near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $249.10. Source: TradingView

The pre-market for Amazon looks a bit bullish, although I wouldn’t call it overly bullish. We are in an area that should be interesting for technical traders, though, as the last earnings call produced a massive gap and we find ourselves at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.

We are getting close to an oversold condition in the stochastic oscillator, and the 10-year yield is now at 5% again, so that has its own part to play here.

I do think we have a situation where traders continue to look at this as a potential value play, but it is also going to be heavily influenced by the U.S. consumer and how it is feeling. Interest rates rising and inflation rising are not good things, but so far it looks like we are at least finding some type of support.

WMT Technical Analysis

Daily candlestick chart for Walmart showing pre-market price at $108.16 testing resistance below the 50-day EMA at $110.37.
Daily price chart for Walmart showing shares trading near $108.16 beneath the 50-day EMA. Source: TradingView

Walmart is doing very little in pre-market trading. It is currently finding the 50-day EMA as a potential barrier, and as a result, it might be worth looking at this through the prism of whether or not we can get above there. We are in the overbought condition in the stochastic oscillator, so maybe a little bit more consolidation. That would not be overly surprising because after all, most of the day is going to be waiting around for the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, and perhaps more important than that will be the press conference.

TGT Technical Analysis

Daily candlestick chart for Target showing pre-market price at $154.60 holding support just above the 50-day EMA at $151.46.
Daily price chart for Target showing shares hovering at $154.60, just above the 50-day EMA support line. Source: TradingView

Target looks as if it is going to basically open up where it closed during the previous session, which was pretty ugly for Target. We are sitting just above the 50-day EMA, and it is in a nice uptrend. We are oversold in the stochastic oscillator now, so I’ll be looking for some type of bounce.

Hopefully, we get some type of bounce near the 50-day EMA. Then it becomes a technical play. It’s an uptrend; I have no interest in shorting it, and so far this year it has performed fairly well. Ultimately, this is just a hopefully nice continuation play waiting to happen here in a very strong retailer in America.

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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