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AUD/USD Price Forecast – Australian Dollar Continues To Try And Find Bottom

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Nov 27, 2019, 16:24 UTC

The Aussie dollar continues to bounce around the same area that we have been talking about for a couple of weeks now, with simply nowhere to be. With that in mind, this is a market that continues to be very difficult to get excited about, as it is held hostage by the US/China trade talks. With that in mind, I believe that this market will eventually make a move, but it will be due to external forces more than anything else.

AUD/USD daily chart, November 28, 2019

The Australian dollar has struggled a bit during the trading session to find any footing, but that should not be much of a surprise as we have seen this market struggle for direction as the Americans and the Chinese continue to negotiate a potential trade deal. At this point in time, you should keep in mind that the Australian dollar is highly sensitive to the US/China trade deal because it is such a major producer of commodities that the Chinese use. In other words, Australia is highly levered to China, and will continue to be going into the future. With that, it’s very likely that we will continue to see a lot of back and forth until we can get some type of clarity out of Washington or Beijing. In that sense, you may be waiting quite some time for the move.

AUD/USD Video 28.11.19

Looking at the chart though, you can make an argument for a bit of a “double bottom” down at the 0.67 handle, and the potential of a “higher low” at the 0.6775 level which suddenly seems to be heavily supported. If that is in fact true, that could be somewhat groundbreaking as it could be the beginning of a trend change. If you can marry that up with some type of good announcement out of the trade talks, this could be an explosive turnaround.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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