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Bitcoin (BTC) Fear & Greed Index Leaves BTC at Sub-$20,000

By:
Bob Mason
Published: Jul 2, 2022, 05:26 UTC

The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index rose modestly this morning. Failing to break out from recent ranges, however, will continue to test BTC support.

BTC struggles

Key Insights:

  • On Friday, bitcoin (BTC) slid by 3.31% to end the day at $19,249. It was a sixth consecutive day in the red, with the Fear & Greed Index bearish.
  • The downside came despite a late NASDAQ 100 relief rally, with bitcoin hitting reverse after the US market close.
  • Technical indicators are bearish, with bitcoin below the 50-day EMA.

On Friday, bitcoin (BTC) slid by 3.31%. Following a 0.93% fall on Thursday, bitcoin ended the day at $19,249.

A bullish session saw BTC rally to an early high of $20,818 before hitting reverse.

BTC broke through the First Major Resistance Level at $20,493 before sliding to a late low of $18,952.

The extended sell-off saw BTC test support at the First Major Support Level at $18,974 before a partial recovery to $19,200 levels.

On Friday, the NASDAQ 100 found late support to end the day in positive territory. BTC tracked the NASDAQ through the day before a post-US market close reversal.

BTC NASDAQ correlation
BTC-NASDAQ 020722 5 Minute Chart

For the week, the NASDAQ slid by 4.13%, however, while bitcoin was down 8.48% Monday through Friday.

Crypto headwinds continued to weigh on investor appetite. An anticipated shift in the regulatory landscape, fears of a US recession, and sentiment towards central bank monetary policy remained market negatives.

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Continues to Send Bearish Signals

This morning, the Fear & Greed Index increased from 11/100 to 14/00. Bitcoin’s extended losing streak failed to send the Index to sub-10/100 going into the weekend.

Fear & Greed Index rises modestly.
Fear & Greed 020722

While the upward trend would suggest improving market conditions, the Index has remained within a tight range since falling into the “Extreme Fear” zone.

A move beyond 14/100 and an upward trend towards 25/100 would signal a shift in investor sentiment.

The Index last visited the “Fear Zone” on May 5, when BTC stood at $36,630.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Action

At the time of writing, BTC was down 0.36% to $19,179.

A mixed start to the day saw BTC rise to a high of $19,355 before falling to a low of $19,047.

BTC left the Major Support and Resistance Levels untested early on.

BTC under early pressure
BTCUSD 020722 Daily Chart

Technical Indicators

BTC will need to move through the $19,675 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level at $20,396 and the Friday high of $20,818.

BTC would need plenty of support to break back through to $20,000.

An extended rally would test the Second Major Resistance Level at $21,535. The Third Major Resistance Level sits at $23,405.

Failure to move through the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level at $18,529 into play.

Barring another extended sell-off, BTC should avoid sub-$18,000 and the Second Major Support Level at $17,806.

The Third Major Support Level sits at $15,941.

BTC support levels in play
BTCUSD 020722 Hourly Chart

Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly candlestick chart (below), it was a bearish signal. This morning, bitcoin sat below the 50-day EMA, currently at $20,220.

The 50-day EMA fell back from the 100-day EMA. The 100-day EMA eased back from the 100-day EMA, bitcoin price negative.

A move through the 50-day EMA would bring the Major Resistance Levels into play.

However, the Friday fall through the 50-day EMA does leave the Major Support Levels in play.

EMAs bearish
BTCUSD 020722 4 Hourly Chart

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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