Bitcoin (BTC) is again showing a familiar split between price volatility and “whale” behavior, increasing its odds of rebounding toward $100,000 in the coming weeks.
Whale Accumulation Fastest Since April 2025
Bitcoin supply held by addresses with 1,000–10,000 BTC began rising in mid-December, according to data resource Glassnode. It stayed in an uptrend through January, even as BTC pulled back from recent highs amid US President Donald Trump’s tariff-driven volatility.
The divergence suggests that large holders treated the headline-led dip as an opportunity for accumulation, adding exposure during risk-off swings instead of cutting their positions.
In March–April 2025, the same whale cohort increased its BTC supply at a comparable pace while prices weakened amid Trump tariff threats.
Once the headline pressure eased, BTC stabilized and rose by around 70% to reach a new record high at around $126,200. That reinforced the idea that whales treated the drawdown as an accumulation window.
The current setup is similar: whale balances are rising just as spot price attempts to rebound.
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See all Bitcoin forecastsBitcoin Technical Analysis: $100K is Achievable
Bitcoin is again bouncing from the bull flag’s lower trendline, a level that has repeatedly acted as support since late November.
Each prior tag of this rising support zone produced a swift mean-reversion rally inside the flag, roughly 12%–15% over 2–4 weeks, before price ran into overhead resistance near the upper boundary.
The latest rebound follows the same script: BTC defended the lower trendline and is attempting to reclaim key moving-average resistance, including the 50-day EMA.
If the pattern holds, the next upside swing could carry BTC back toward the flag’s top and into the $98,000–$100,000 area, with a clean break opening the door to a move above $100,000.
Overhead Liquidation Clusters Point to $100,000
Bitcoin’s liquidation heatmap keeps the $100,000 case alive because the densest leverage sits above the current price, starting from the $90,000–$93,000 band and stacking higher into $96,000–$99,000 and ~$100,000.
These bright liquidity clusters act like magnetic zones: as price approaches them, forced buy orders from short liquidations and stop-losses can accelerate the move, pulling BTC into the next pocket of liquidity.
In that setup, a clean reclaim of $90,000 increases the odds of a cascading “short squeeze” that stair-steps through overhead clusters, turning $100,000 from a target into a natural liquidity destination.
