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Brexit Still Frightens Pound

By:
Dmitriy Gurkovskiy
Published: Mar 11, 2019, 14:06 UTC

The beginning of March was tough for the Pound. The reason why investors continue selling the British currency remains the same – any news relating to the Brexit one way or another.

GBP

Last week, several sources, from both the European Union and the United Kingdom, said that the Brexit talks broke down in a deadlock. The European Union rejected amendments to the Brexit agreement introduced by the United Kingdom. In addition to that, last Wednesday the Lords Chamber passed an amendment that implies a further Customs Union agreement with the EU, which would surely create more problems for the British Prime Minister Theresa May, who was already sick and tired of tackling obstacles on the way to the Brexit.

On Friday, it became known that the talks between European and British policymakers were still in progress, not without complications of course, but nevertheless. However, it was too late: at that time, investors were already worried a lot and not sure whether the talks might yet be efficient.

This week, the British Parliament will once again vote on the Brexit agreement, but before that, the European Union would like to see amendments relating to the Irish border. This is another reason that is keeping the Pound on its toes.

As we can see in the H4 chart, after breaking the support line of the current channel, GBPUSD continued the downtrend. The price may move into the downside projected channel and fall towards 1.2830. The resistance level is at 1.3100.

GBPUSD H4 Chart

In the H1 chart, the short-term trend has broken the mid-term support line. Stochastic is inside the “oversold zone”; it confirms a stable downtrend and may indicate a possible pullback in the future, which may start after the instrument fixes inside a new channel.

GBPUSD H1 Chart

By Dmitriy Gurkovskiy, Chief Analyst at RoboForex

About the Author

Dmitriy has Masters Degree in Finance from London School of Economics and Political Science, and a Masters Degree in Social Psychology from National Technical University of Ukraine. After receiving postgraduate degree he began working as the Head of Laboratory of Technical and Fundamental Analysis of Financial Markets at the International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis. The experience and skills he gained helped him to realize his potential as an analyst-trader and a portfolio manager in an investment company.

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