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Chris Svorcik

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is breaking above the weekly resistance trend lines (dotted purple). This could indicate a potential long-term uptrend. What is needed to confirm the breakout?

Price Charts and Technical Analysis

A strong bullish weekly candle would certainly help. For instance, a bullish close near the high could signal that the bulls remain in control at the close of the week. A weekly candle should also have decent volatility and size. So far, the candle is medium sized. Another confirmation could be 2 bullish weekly candles in a row. A massive sell of and wick on the weekly candle could otherwise indicate a false breakout.

Currently, the uptrend is in full alignment. Price is above the 21 ema zone, which is above long-term MAs (144-233-610). A bullish breakout and continuation is expected at the moment. This could create a wave 3 (light purple) after price completed waves 1-2.

On the 4 hour chart, price needs to develop a bull flag to confirm the bullish outlook. Price remains in clear bullish territory if price action remains above the 50% Fib. A break below the 38.2-50% indicates a deeper retracement. A break below the bottom could indicate a massive false breakout and a return to a consolidation mode.

Good trading,

Chris Svorcik

The analysis has been done with the indicators and template from the SWAT method (simple wave analysis and trading). For more daily technical and wave analysis and updates, sign-up to our newsletter

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