Based on the early price action, the direction of copper today will be determined by trader reaction to the main Fibonacci level at $3.0880.
March Comex High Grade Copper futures are trading higher early Monday. The higher-high, higher-low has helped form a new minor bottom at $3.0260. The market is also trying to claw back inside a key retracement zone. A weaker U.S. Dollar is helping to underpin the market.
The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. A trade through $3.0260 will signal a resumption of the downtrend. This could lead to an extension of the selling into the next main bottom at $2.9430.
The main range is $2.9430 to $3.3220. Its retracement zone is $3.0880 to $3.1325. Trader reaction to this zone will determine the longer-term direction of the market.
The short-term range is $3.2575 to $3.0260. If the rally continues then its retracement zone at $3.1420 to $3.1690 will become the primary upside target.
Based on the early price action, the direction of copper today will be determined by trader reaction to the main Fibonacci level at $3.0880.
A sustained move under $3.0880 will signal the presence of sellers. This could drive the market into a pair of Gann angles at $3.0580 and $3.0575.
Crossing to the weak side of the angle at $3.0575 will indicate the selling is getting stronger. This could trigger a break into Friday’s low at $3.0260, followed by an uptrending Gann angle at $3.0025.
A sustained move over $3.0880 will indicate the presence of buyers. This is a potential trigger point for an acceleration into $3.1325.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.