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Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis December 14, 2012, Forecasts

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 21, 2015, 00:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: Crude Oil declined by 50pts today to trade at 86.27 after the US downgraded growth for next year reducing the demand for

Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis December 14, 2012, Forecasts

Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis December 14, 2012, Forecasts
Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis December 14, 2012, Forecasts
Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil declined by 50pts today to trade at 86.27 after the US downgraded growth for next year reducing the demand for energy even with the economy recovering. EIA inventory showed that stocks in the US continue to increase. . Rising stockpiles amidst the US fiscal concerns dragged down crude oil prices too. On the NYMEX, prices dropped 0.6 percent and were hovering above $86 a barrel.

 Oil prices fell on Thursday on profit-taking, one day after soaring as OPEC held its output ceiling and the Federal Reserve expanded of its bond-buying stimulus program.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data December 13, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Dec. 13

 

KRW

 

 

South Korean Interest Rate Decision 

2.75%

 

2.75% 

 

2.75% 

 

 

 

 

CHF

 

 

PPI (MoM) 

0.0%

 

-0.3% 

 

-0.1% 

 

 

 

 

CHF

 

 

Interest Rate Decision 

0.00%

 

0.00% 

 

0.00% 

 

 

 

 

GBP

 

 

CBI Industrial Trends Orders 

-12

 

-16 

 

-21 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

Core PPI (MoM) 

0.1%

 

0.2% 

 

-0.2% 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

Core Retail Sales (MoM) 

0.0%

 

-0.1% 

 

0.0% 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

PPI (MoM) 

-0.8%

 

-0.5% 

 

-0.2% 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

Retail Sales (MoM) 

0.3%

 

0.5% 

 

-0.3% 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

Initial Jobless Claims 

343K

 

370K 

 

372K 

   

 

 

USD

 

 

Continuing Jobless Claims 

3198K

 

3210K 

 

3221K 

   

 

 

USD

 

 

PPI (YoY) 

1.5%

 

1.8% 

 

2.3% 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

Core PPI (YoY) 

2.2%

 

2.2% 

 

2.1% 

   

 

WEEKLY

  • This Week in Petroleum
    Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
    Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Weekly Petroleum Status Report
    Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. All other PDF and HTML files are released to the Web site after 1:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. Appendix D is produced during the winter heating season, which extends from October through March of each year. For some weeks which include holidays, releases are delayed by one day. (schedule)

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Dec. 14

07:58

EUR

French Manufacturing PMI 

45.0 

44.5 

 

08:28

EUR

German Manufacturing PMI 

47.2 

46.8 

 

10:00

EUR

CPI (YoY) 

2.2% 

2.2% 

 

10:00

EUR

Core CPI (YoY) 

 

1.5% 

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Dec 14 11:00 Belgium 

Dec 14 15:30 UK 

Dec 17 10:10 Norway 

Dec 17 18:00 US 

Dec 18 01:30 Japan 

Dec 18 09:30 Spain 

Dec 18 10:10 Greece 

Dec 18 18:00 US 

Dec 19 18:00 US 

Dec 20 10:30 UK 

Dec 20 16:30 Italy  

Dec 20 18:00 US 

Dec 21 16:30 Italy  

 

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