Crude oil markets were choppy during the past week, as we are reaching towards the top of the overall range we have been in for some time. Ultimately, this is a market that continues to be very noisy, but obviously we have a significant amount of support just below.
The WTI Crude Oil market went back and forth during most of the week, ultimately settling on a slightly negative candle, but I see a significant amount of support underneath that should continue to keep this market afloat. Not only do we have a bit of support at the $64 level, but we also have support at the uptrend line just below. Currently, most hedge fund traders that I have been speaking to our long of crude oil, and I think that we will try to make a move higher, perhaps to the $68 level, perhaps even the $70. The uptrend line being broken to the downside would collapse this market to the $60 level, perhaps even lower than that.
Brent markets were choppy as well, as we continue to bounce around the $70 level. I think if we can break above the top of the weekly candle, the market should be able to go higher, and that should free the market to go to the $75 level eventually. If we do break down below the bottom of the candle, we could go as low as $67, where we would have a short-term uptrend line to be keep things above. If we break down below there, the market then goes down to the $65 level. Expect choppy trading, but it does look as if the buyers are becoming more aggressive as of late.
Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.