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Crude Oil Price Forecast – Crude Oil Continues to Look Strong

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Feb 19, 2024, 15:33 GMT+00:00

Crude oil markets were rather quiet during the Monday session but continue to look strong overall.

In this article:

WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis

You can see that the WTI crude oil market has pulled back just a bit during the trading session on Monday in electronic trading. The 200 day EMA has offered a bit of support, so we’ll have to wait and see how this plays out. But the $80 level above does seem to be an area where we have a lot of selling pressure. If we can break above there, then I do believe that the $80 level opens up a move to the $82.50 level, possibly even the $85 level. Short-term pullbacks at this point in time continue to find a buying opportunity all the way down to at least the 50-day EMA, possibly even lower than that. In general, I think we are starting to see crude oil start to flex its muscles.

Brent Crude Oil Technical Analysis

Brent is very much in the same situation. I believe that the $83.50 level will be a major resistance barrier, and if we can break above there, then we could go to the $87.50 level, possibly even the $90 level. In general, I think you are a buyer of dips. The 50-day EMA sits right around the $80 level as well.

And the 50 day EMA of course is something that a lot of people pay attention to. Keep in mind that you have a scenario where the central banks around the world look likely to loosen monetary policy and that a lot of traders feel will get the economies humming again. And if that’s the case, demand for crude oil will pick up. Furthermore, there’s a seasonality to this market as the driving season starts and travel season. A little bit of an inverted head and shoulders is forming in the chart, it’s a messy one, but it’s there, and I think a lot of people are paying attention to as well. So with that being said, I think it’s probably only a matter of time before we break out.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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