Crude oil markets have fallen three days in a row only to bounce again near the $55 level. At this point, the market is very likely to continue to show signs of support in that general vicinity because this is the type of signal that doesn’t fire off very often.
The WTI Crude Oil market has pulled back again during the day on Friday just as it did on Wednesday and Thursday and bounced just as it did on those days as well. The $55 level has offered a lot of support based upon the fact that it is where the gap had formed from the drone attacks in Saudi Arabia. Now that the gap has been filled, the idea is that we should bounce and continue to go higher but I don’t necessarily believe that the fundamentals help the idea for a huge move to the upside. Quite frankly, I believe that this market is probably going to chop around between here and the $58 level.
Brent markets also have fallen again during the day on Friday only to find buyers underneath. The $60 level is the bottom of the massive gap that occurred in this market, and it is offering massive support. At this point, I think that the market will continue to show a lot of volatility, but I think the 200 day EMA above will continue to be massive resistance, so overall I believe that this market probably rallies a bit, but in general the market looks back and forth just waiting to happen. All things being equal, this probably returns to a short-term traders type of situation more than anything else. If we were to break down below the $60 level though, it would be a very negative sign, just as a break above the 200 day EMA would be very bullish.
Please let us know what you think in the comments below
Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.