The crude oil markets bounce quite heartily during the trading session on Wednesday, but quite frankly we are still struggling overall.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market rallied a bit during the trading session on Wednesday to reach towards the $60 level quite quickly. The question now is whether or not this rally has any real teeth, or is it simply a reaction to the blockage of the Suez Canal? The ship that ran aground in the Suez will be moved in the next few days, so then any big knee-jerk reaction will be out of the way. All things being equal, the market has recently broken a trendline so therefore I think we probably have more downside I had unless of course we take out the $63 level to the upside.
Brent markets also rallied during the trading session but still look to be just under an area that could be a bit of resistance. At this point, with Europe locking down I think that eventually people are going to take a close look at crude oil and whether or not the demand is going to justify these prices. We are currently hugging the 50 day EMA, so I do not necessarily think we are going to melt down, I just think that we are going to continue to churn sideways in general. With that being the case, it is very likely that short-term sellers will return to this market sooner rather than later. However, if we break above the $67 level, then I think we go looking towards the $70 level again. Nonetheless, I do think that the increase in volume as of late and the big red bars tell me that we are likely going to see a significant amount of downward pressure.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.