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Crude Oil Price Forecast – crude oil markets choppy on Friday

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jul 28, 2018, 05:18 UTC

The crude oil markets were rather choppy during the Friday session as we got GDP figures coming out of the United States. They were 4.1%, which of course is good and should foretell demand, but at the same time it was 0.1% less than expected.

Crude Oil daily chart, July 30, 2018

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market has been sideways during most of the day, going back and forth around the $69.50 level. The market is likely to recover a bit based upon the longer-term charts which are showing signs of stability. The market will more than likely continue to be very noisy, but when I look at the AUD/USD, EUR/USD, and GBP/USD pairs, it looks as if the US dollar is going to roll over a bit. That should supply a bit of support for this market. For confirmation though, I need to see this market break significantly and cleanly above the $70 level. Once it does, I think WTI goes much higher.

Brent

Brent markets are starting to show signs of support again, and I think at this point we are probably going to try to break above the $75 level. The $75 level breaking to the upside would signal that the Brent market is ready to make a move towards the $77.50 level, then possibly the $80 level. I believe that short-term pullbacks will more than likely offer buying opportunities, but you need to be cautious about building up too large of a position in this market. Pay attention to the US dollar, if it continues to lose a lot of momentum, I think that the market will continue to show favorability to some commodities, especially crude oil as there are still a lot of questions as to demand. I believe the 4.1% GDP number in the United States will offer a bit of a cushion for short selling as well.

Crude Oil Inventories Video 30.07.18

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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