The crude oil markets have been very noisy as of late, and as a result it’s very likely that we will continue to go back and forth quite violently. Looking at this market, it’s very likely that we see a lot of trouble determining the trend in the short term.
The WTI Crude Oil market initially shot higher during the trading session on Wednesday, breaking through a downtrend line that I have marked on the chart. At this point, the $57.50 level above is massive resistance, and I think that area will continue to cause a lot of issues just as the downtrend line will. At this point, I think we are trying to figure out where to go next, so this is rapidly becoming more of a binary trade in the sense that if we can break down through the hammer from the previous session, then it’s a very negative sign. Alternately, if we can break above the $57.50 level, then it’s a positive sign and could send this market looking to finish the longer-term consolidation to the $60 handle.
Brent markets rallied during the trading session as well, reaching towards the crucial $61 level. This is an area that has offered resistance a couple of times recently, and of course we are starting to get somewhat close to the 50 day EMA. With that in mind I suspect we may see a little bit of a pullback but keep an eye on both of these charts. Typically, one of them will lead the other one, give you new a “heads up” as to which direction the entire market should go. All things being equal I believe that the market will continue to perceive the lack of demand globally as a major headwind.
Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.