Crude oil markets have rallied a bit during the trading session on Monday, as it looks like they're trying to recover completely.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market rallied a bit during the trading session on Monday, as we are above the $85 level. The $85 level being broken above is a bullish sign, and I think at this point is likely that we will go look into the $87.50 level. If we can break above that, then the market is likely to go looking to the $90 level. Underneath, we have the 200-Day EMA is sitting just below the $83 level, offering a bit of a floor in the market. The market of course is paying close attention to it as per usual, as it looks like we are trying to recover from a pullback to the 200-Day EMA.
In general, I think this is a situation where you continue to see a lot of noisy behavior, before we go much higher. All things being equal, I think the situation is going to continue to be noisy, but it certainly looks as if people are trying to run to the upside.
Brent markets continue to see a lot of noisy behavior, and at this juncture it looks like we are trying to form some type of bullish plan, and therefore open up the possibility of a move to the $90 level. Brent continues to be very bullish, therefore I think we’ve got a situation where the market continues to look to the upside, and therefore I think short-term pullbacks offer value that people take advantage of, and the 200-Day EMA underneath will continue to offer support. The 50-Day EMA underneath also offers support as well. All things being equal, this is a situation where I think you continue to look for buyers on dips, and therefore eventually we go looking to build up enough momentum to get to the $90 level.
If we break down below both of these moving averages, then it’s possible that the crude oil market is likely to go look into the $80 level. The $80 level is a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and an area where we see a lot of noise in the past, so we will have to pay close attention to it.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.