Advertisement
Advertisement

Crude Oil Price Forecast – Crude Oil Markets Continue to Show Signs of Stress

By:
Christopher Lewis
Published: Apr 27, 2020, 15:06 UTC

The West Texas Intermediate Crude oil market has been in the headlines, but both the WTI and the Brent markets are suffering significant stress. Although one went lower and one went higher, both are extraordinarily weak.

Crude Oil WTI Brent

WTI Crude Oil

The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market fell rather hard during the trading session on Monday as we continue to see a lot of weakness in this contract. After all, we are running out of places to store oil, so nobody wants to take delivery of it. In other words, there simply are no bids. Furthermore, after seeing what happened with the May contract, a lot of traders are going to be overly cautious about buying this contract in general. Demand is still very weak, and that is not going to change anytime soon. Oversupply and lack of demand brings gravity to the markets. I would not be surprised at all to see this one trade negative eventually. Rallies towards the $20 level are selling opportunities, the $10 level should be short-term support.

Crude Oil Video 28.04.20

Brent

Brent markets pulled back towards the $20 level during the trading session on Monday but then bounced a bit. That being said, the $23 level is a short-term resistance barrier and the $25 level above there is much more significant. In other words, this bounce is something that you should be selling into at the first signs of failure. If the market was to turn around a break down below the $20 level, that would be an extraordinarily negative sign, but at this point I prefer to fade rallies as they happen in both of these grades of markets, because you do get the occasional “bear market rally” that can cause major issues. Ultimately, I like selling signs of strength as there is no demand.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

Did you find this article useful?

Advertisement