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Crude Oil Price forecast for the week of February 12, 2018, Technical Analysis

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Feb 10, 2018, 06:05 UTC

Crude oil markets have been brutalized during the week, as we have broken through major barriers in all grades that I follow. Because of this, looks as if the uptrend may be ending, as the oversupply continues, and Americans have begun drilling yet again.

Crude Oil weekly chart, February 12, 2018

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market has broken down below the $60 level during the week, which of course is a psychologically important level. There is a lot of support just below though, so we could have a bit of a fight on our hands. If we break down below the uptrend line, the market should then go much lower. I think that the market should continue to be negative overall, but we may get a bounce in this general vicinity. All things being equal, I think that the Americans are about to flood the market with crude.

WTI Video 12.02.18

Brent

Brent markets broke down during the week, slicing through the $65 level, and look likely to go down to the $60 level. We have already broken down below the uptrend line, so I think we are going to continue to see selling pressure. If the US dollar starts to rally again, that will of course put even more pressure on this market. Ultimately, I think that the market breaking below the $60 level should send this market much lower, perhaps down to the $56 level. That’s an area that should be supportive, but at this point I think rallies are selling opportunities and I think that the $70 level is probably the highs for the year. Ultimately, this is a market that should be volatile, but I think the oversupply is going to overwhelm the market in general. Ultimately, I think that market has gotten far too ahead of itself.

Brent weekly chart, February 12, 2018
Brent weekly chart, February 12, 2018

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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