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Crude Oil Price forecast for the week of February 5, 2018, Technical Analysis

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Feb 3, 2018, 05:52 UTC

The crude oil markets were negative during the week, and after the jobs number came out on Friday, they took a bit of a nosedive. However, the market for crude oil is still very bullish, so I think it’s only a matter of time before the buyers return.

Crude Oil weekly chart, February 05, 2018

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market fell during the week, breaking below the $65 level to show signs of weakness. However, there is a massive uptrend line underneath, and I think it’s only a matter of time before we will find support underneath. We are bit overdone, so quite frankly this pullback should be a nice opportunity to start buying, especially near the $62 handle. I think that the US dollar falling longer-term will continue to help the gold markets, and for what it’s worth, I’ve recently had a conversation with some people at Goldman Sachs suggesting that $80 a barrel is probably the target. I’m not quite so bullish, but that gives you an idea of where Wall Street is looking.

Brent

Brent markets formed a negative weekly candle at the $70 level, and quite frankly this is a sign that we should fall. However, I think this is the market looking for support below, which it should find at either the $67.50 level, an area that has been important on the short-term charts, or perhaps the $65 level underneath which is more of a “reversion to the mean” on the Bollinger Bands indicator.

No matter what happens, I anticipate that there are value hunters underneath, so longer-term traders should be looking at this as a potential buying opportunity just waiting to happen. However, let the market come back to you before you start buying. The alternate scenario of course is that we just break to a fresh, new high, which is also an obvious buying opportunity.

WTI Video 05.02.18

Brent weekly chart, February 05, 2018
Brent weekly chart, February 05, 2018

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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