Based on yesterday’s price action and the close at $68.77, the direction of the November WTI Crude Oil market early Wednesday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the Fibonacci level at $69.33.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil futures settled higher on Tuesday after Bloomberg reported, citing unnamed Saudi sources, the kingdom was currently comfortable with prices above $80 per barrel, at least for the short-term. Ministers from OPEC and non-OPEC producers meet on Sunday to discuss compliance with output policies. OPEC sources have told Reuters no immediate action was planned and producers would discuss how to share a previously agreed output increase.
On Tuesday, November WTI Crude Oil settled at $68.77, up $1.22 or +1.81%.
The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. A trade through $70.89 and $70.98 will signal a resumption of the uptrend. This action would make $67.79 a new main bottom. Currently, the main bottom is $66.67, a trade through this level will change the main trend to down.
The short-term range is $70.98 to $66.67. Its retracement zone is $68.82 to $69.33. The market straddled his zone for three session before closing above it on Tuesday.
The main range is $63.69 to $70.98. Its retracement zone at $67.34 to $66.47 is support. This zone stopped the selling at $66.67 on September 7.
Based on yesterday’s price action and the close at $69.59, the direction of the November WTI Crude Oil market early Wednesday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the Fibonacci level at $69.33.
A sustained move over $69.33 will indicate the presence of buyers. The first target is yesterday’s high at $70.17. This is the last potential resistance before the main tops at $70.89 and $70.98.
A sustained move under $69.33 will signal the presence of sellers. This could trigger a fast break into $68.82. Watch for a technical bounce on the first test of this level, but if it fails as support, we could see a plunge into $67.79, followed by $67.63.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.