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Crude Oil Weekly Price Forecast – crude oil markets collapse on Friday

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jun 16, 2018, 07:17 UTC

Crude oil markets initially started the week relatively positive but have turned around to form nasty looking candles as traders are anticipating OPEC increasing output. Beyond that, the US dollar has also strengthened, so that provides a little bit of natural bearishness.

Crude Oil weekly chart, June 18, 2018

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market initially rallied during the week, reaching towards the $67 level before rolling over and forming a nasty looking candle. We are testing a significant uptrend line on the weekly chart, and I think that we are in serious danger of breaking down below it. If we break down below the $64 level, that not only breaks down through the uptrend line, but it also would break down through the bottom of the hammer that formed during the previous week. That would be a very bearish turn of events and could send this market looking for the $60 level. At this point, I think that bounces in this market will face great resistance.

Brent

Brent markets initially rallied during the week, but then broke down rather significantly, losing almost 4% on Friday. We broke down through the bottom of a hammer that showed plenty of support at the $75 level, and now it looks as if we are going to go looking towards the uptrend line on the weekly chart, which coincides roughly with $72. If we were to break down below that level, the market will more than likely go looking towards the $70 level after that. Otherwise, I think that the markets will try to find some type of buoyancy at the uptrend line, and perhaps keep the uptrend intact. At this point though, I think it’s very dangerous to trust that trend line blindly. Some type of confirmation would be needed.

WTI Video 18.06.18

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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