DAX Index, FTSE 100 maintain holding patterns, marked by cautious optimism ahead of U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate, policy decisions.
European markets traded cautiously higher on Wednesday, as traders focused on the U.S. Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision. The Stoxx 600 index rose by 0.29%, rebounding from its worst monthly performance since September 2022. Additionally, Germany’s DAX Index is trading 0.16% higher. Meanwhile, the FTSE 100 remained subdued, up about 0.20%, balancing gains in healthcare and retail sectors against declines in energy and mining.
The Stoxx 600’s rise was buoyed by healthcare stocks like GSK, which surged 1.8% following a second raise of its full-year profit and sales forecasts. Retail stocks also lifted the index, gaining 1.1% after U.K. based Next Plc revised its profit outlook upwards for the fourth time this year. On the flip side, Orsted’s third-quarter profit miss led to a 20.1% drop in its shares, dragging the index’s overall performance.
With the U.S. Federal Reserve largely expected to maintain interest rates, European investors appear to be sitting tight. This steady outlook is supported by recent data showing Eurozone inflation dropping to a two-year low of 2.9%, lower than the expected 3.1%. Despite these promising figures, the Eurozone economy contracted by 0.1% in the third quarter, adding a note of caution.
The FTSE 100 was relatively flat, despite notable performances from healthcare giant GSK and retailer Next Plc. GSK shares climbed 1.2% after the firm raised its full-year profit and sales forecasts for the second time this year. Conversely, the energy and mining sectors held the index back. Aston Martin’s shares plummeted over 16%, following production problems and a significant quarterly loss, adding more pressure to the FTSE 100.
Overall, the European markets seem to be in a holding pattern, awaiting cues from the U.S. Federal Reserve. With stable figures in inflation and some strong sectoral performances, the short-term outlook appears cautiously optimistic. However, underperforming sectors and uncertainty in the global economic landscape could act as potential headwinds.
The current daily price of the DAX Index at 14816.60 is below both the 50-day moving average of 15386.68 and the 200-day moving average of 15640.61, indicating bearish sentiment in both short-term and long-term perspectives.
Additionally, the price is situated between the minor support at 14660.00 and the minor resistance at 14908.01, suggesting a tight trading range.
Main support and resistance levels are at 14462.00 and 15096.75 respectively, serving as critical price points to watch.
In summary, the market for the DAX Index shows a bearish outlook, reinforced by its positioning relative to key moving averages and support and resistance levels.
The current daily price of the FTSE 100 Index at 7320.00 is below both the 50-day moving average of 7507.63 and the 200-day moving average of 7627.95, which generally indicates bearish sentiment in both short-term and long-term contexts.
Furthermore, the price is below the minor resistance level of 7401.87 and above the minor support level of 7207.00, suggesting a consolidation phase within this range.
Given these indicators, the market sentiment for the FTSE 100 appears to be bearish, especially considering its position relative to key moving averages and support and resistance zones.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.