There is no resistance at this time so all investors have to worry about is the potentially closing price reversal top.
March E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index futures are expected to open higher based on the pre-market trade. Earlier in the session, the market posted a new all-time high.
Given the prolonged move up in terms of price and time, the first sign of a short-term top is likely to be a closing price reversal top. We already had the higher-high earlier today. Therefore, we’ll have to monitor the price action and read the order flow on a test of yesterday’s close at 6780.25.
An intraday move through 6780.25 will indicate the selling is greater than the buying at current price levels. A close below this level will form the reversal top. If confirmed, this chart pattern could trigger the start of a 2 to 3 day correction equal to at least 50% of the current rally.
There is no resistance at this time so all investors have to worry about is the potentially bearish chart pattern.
The nearest support is a steep uptrending Gann angle, moving up at a rate of 32 points per day from the 6383.25 bottom. This angle comes in at 6735.25 today. Since the main trend is up, we could see a technical bounce on the first test of this angle. If it fails then look for the selling to extend into a long-term uptrending Gann angle at 6698.75.
The angle at 6698.75 is the trigger point for a sharp break into 6628.25. Taking out this level could trigger an acceleration to the downside.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.