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EUR/USD Daily Price Forecast- The Euro Pair Gets Underway Recovery

By:
Nikhil Khandelwal
Published: Apr 19, 2019, 07:35 UTC

The Euro bears remain subdued anticipating the strong expected US Housing data. Notably, the 200-days SMA traded 39 pips above the EUR/USD alluding a bear call.

Euro time concept

During the Asian trading session, the EUR/USD appeared slightly rebounding from the previous day’s massive losses. The pair had reached last day near the lowest of 1.1227 levels amid weak Eurozone PMI figures and substantial US Retail numbers. However, the down-fallen euro pair was trading 22 pips above the last day’s low, easing further selling pressure.

As today is Good Friday, most of the operating business firms and other institutions maintain a holiday on that account. Despite that, we have a couple of euro events lined up for the day which may have a significant impact on the pair’s movements. Hence, the EUR/USD investors must keep a closer watch on these events.

On the USD Index front, the morning trading pattern containing fewer candlesticks revealed strong disinterest among the greenback traders. The US Dollar Index that computes the greenback against the six major rivals was 0.72 percent down today’s opening.

Key EUR/USD Influential Events

8:00 GMT

The Istituto Nazionale di statistical will broadcast  following April events for Italy:

  • Business Confidence: The report will provide an idea about Italian businesses. The consensus estimates a smaller decrease in the numbers. They expect the stats to reach around 100.7 points than previous 100.8 points.
  • Consumer Confidence: A positivity in the figures will strengthen the Euro. The Street experts are in-line with the previous numbers with 111.2 points.

12:30 GMT

The U.S. Census Bureau will publish the March MoM Building Permits and Housing Starts figures. The higher Permits will crop up the USD while a rise in the new single-family homes will remain bullish. The analyst expects 41.9 percent hike in Building Permits while 21.0 percent decrease in the Housing Starts.

Technical Analysis

EURUSD 60 Min 19 April 2019
EURUSD 60 Min 19 April 2019

The EUR/USD bounced off touching the strong previous resistance line of 1.1229 levels. Earlier the day, the pair was drifting coinciding with the lower boundaries of the Bollinger Bands (BB) as a part of last day’s downward rally. From there, the pair made a U-turn crossing the center line of the BB was moving to its upper region. This action develops signs for a slow recovery of the prior losses incurred. Nevertheless, the significant 100-days SMA and 200-days SMA stood above the EUR/USD showing leftover sustained downtrend effect.

About the Author

Nik has extensive experience as an Analyst, Trader and Financial Consultant for Global Capital Markets. His vision is to generate Highest, Consistent and Sustained Risk-Adjusted Returns for clients over long term basis and providing them world-class investment advisory services.

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