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EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts – U.S. Dollar Stays Flat As PCE Inflation Meets Expectations

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Mar 29, 2024, 16:22 UTC

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD settled below the 1.0800 level as traders reacted to U.S. economic data.
  • USD/CAD was flat amid a lack of catalysts.
  • USD/JPY remains stuck near the ultra-important 151.50 - 152.00 level.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

In this article:

EUR/USD

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 290324 4h Chart

EUR/USD is flat in quiet trading as most traders have taken a day off on Good Friday. Despite the holiday, traders had a chance to take a look at economic reports from the U.S. PCE Price Index increased by 0.3% month-over-month in February, compared to analyst consensus of +0.4%. The previous reading was revised from +0.3% to +0.4%. Personal Income increased by 0.3% month-over-month in February, compared to analyst consensus of +0.4%. Personal Spending grew by 0.8%, exceeding the analyst estimate of 0.5%.

EUR/USD settled below the previous support at 1.0810 – 1.0830 and made an attempt to settle below the 1.0770 level. A move below this level will push EUR/USD towards the next support at 1.0700 – 1.0720.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 290324 4h Chart

GBP/USD remains stuck below the resistance at 1.2650 – 1.2685 as traders wait for catalysts.

In case GBP/USD stays below the 1.2650 level, it will head towards the resistance at 1.2530 – 1.2550.

USD/CAD

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 290324 4h Chart

USD/CAD settled near the 1.3550 level as traders waited for the next week. Commodity markets are closed today, so there are no drivers for commodity-related currencies.

In case USD/CAD declines below the recent lows at 1.3525, it will get to the test of the nearest support level, which is located in the 1.3480 – 1.3500 range.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 290324 4h Chart

USD/JPY is trading near the key resistance at 151.50 – 152.00. Traders worry about potential interventions from the BoJ but are not ready to buy the yen, which remains fundamentally weak due to the ultra-dovish policy of Japan’s central bank.

At this point, it looks that USD/JPY may be ready for another test of the key 152.00 level when most traders get back to work on Monday.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader and analyst with over 10 years of experience in the financial markets. He is a specialist in stocks, futures, Forex, indices, and commodities areas using long-term positional trading and swing trading.

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