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EUR/USD Price Forecast – Euro continues to hug major round number

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: May 8, 2019, 16:44 UTC

The Euro continues to hang about the 1.12 level, an area that has attracted a lot of attention. This is a market that I believe continues to try to figure out what to do next, because quite frankly there are so many moving pieces out there with the global economy and of course geopolitical concerns that currency traders are confused to say the least.

EUR/USD daily chart, May 09, 2019

The Euro continues to hug the 1.12 level, an area that was support during the previous consolidation area. It should now be resistance, just as one would expect. However, we have so many different potential headlines out there that it is going to be difficult to try to figure out where the US dollar should go. Quite frankly, we are in a “risk off” world over the last couple of days of the US dollar has picked up a bit of strength. Longer-term though, one has to wonder how things play out.

Euro to Dollar Forecast Video 09.05.19

The red 50 day EMA above could also cause resistance so if we were to break above the 1.1250 level, then I think the Euro could gain a bit, perhaps reentering the previous consolidation area that extends all the way to the 1.15 level. However, I think in the meantime we have a bit more “base building” to do, meaning that we are trying to form a longer-term bottom, but these things take quite some time. We could dip as low as 1.11 and then 1.10 before that happens. Keep that in mind, as turning the trend around in the currency pair is normally a long-term affair. It’s a lot like turning a huge ship in the water. If we were to turn around and break down below the 1.10 level, it would almost certainly have something to do with the major financial problem.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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