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EUR/USD Price Forecast – Euro starch the week with bullish tone

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jul 17, 2018, 04:47 UTC

The Euro rallied a bit during the Monday session, reaching towards 1.1725 level, before running into the heart of extreme volatility from a couple of weeks ago. Because of this, and the fact that we are starting to pull back a little bit, it looks as if we may continue to see choppy volatility.

EUR/USD daily chart, July 17, 2018

The EUR/USD pair has initially rallied during the trading session on Monday, reaching towards 1.1725 level. We did see a bit of a pushback at that point, as there was a significant amount of money flowing into the market to the downside from that level last week. It looks as if there is a lot of supplied overcome, so I think that we will probably pull back to find more demand, perhaps closer to the 1.1675 level underneath. However, if we break above the 1.1750 level, that will send this pair much higher, perhaps reaching towards the 1.1850 level above, which is the top of the longer-term consolidation.

I think there are far too many headlines out there to suggest that the US dollar is going to soften longer-term. The United States economy is doing better than most others around the world, and of course the ECB is at least a year and a half away from raising interest rates. Longer-term fundamentals suggest that this pair should continue to go back and forth and perhaps even lower. I do recognize that the 1.15 level underneath is going to be a massive “floor.” The market participants continue to be pressed for clarity, and as a result I think we will see the overextension corrected, and I anticipate that the next 24 hours will probably be slightly negative. I’m not looking for a meltdown, just a correction.

EUR USD Forecast Video 17.07.18

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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