The US dollar continues to fight a lot of the major currencies, as we have recently been oversold in the USD. At this point in time, the market looks likely to see a lot of volatility in major pairs.
The euro has gone back and forth during the trading session in early trading on Tuesday, as it looks like the 1.13 level will continue to be very resistant as the US dollar had been oversold and now we are seeing higher interest rates in America and that of course makes the US dollar a bit more attractive. With that being said, I think you have a situation where traders continue to face short-term rallies and if we do, in fact, break down from here, I’d be looking at the 1.11 level initially, followed by the 1.0950 level as a potential target. On a break above 1.15, then the euro will go much higher, but right now it doesn’t look like we have that kind of energy.
The US dollar has been all over the place against the Japanese yen as we continue to see a lot of volatility near the 145 yen level. Ultimately, I think this is a market that will eventually have to make a bigger decision, but as things stand right now, it is a market that, quite frankly, is going to remain very volatile due to the fact that the Japanese yen, of course, is considered to be a safety currency. And the US dollar, of course, has a lot of noise around it, as far as the trade tariffs and potential geopolitical issues are concerned. With that being said, though, I do prefer the upside and if we can break above the 50 day EMA, I would get long.
The Australian dollar has fallen pretty significantly during the trading session on Tuesday, as the Australians released their latest interest rate decision and they did in fact cut rates, but it’s more or less the forward guidance where people are paying the most attention, and with all of the issues with China and the United States, that has a major influence on what happens with the Australian economy. So, if we break down below the 0.6350 level, I suspect that you will see the Aussie fall rather hard, and it very well could coincide with the strengthening US dollar. As far as the upside is concerned, if we were to break above the 0.65 level, that would be extraordinarily bullish.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.