Futures point to the green, with no majors stats from the Eurozone to test the majors. The lack of stats leaves geopolitics in focus.
German ZEW Current Conditions (Aug)
German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Aug)
Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment (Aug)
Italian CPI (MoM) (Jul) Final
Eurozone Industrial Production (MoM) (Jun)
German CPI (MoM) (Jul) Final
Spanish CPI (YoY) (Jul) Final
Spanish HICP (YoY) (Jul) Final
French CPI (MoM) (Jul) Final
French HICP (MoM) (Jul) Final
Eurozone GDP (YoY) (Q2) 2nd Estimate
Eurozone GDP (QoQ) (Q2) 2nd Estimate
Eurozone Trade Balance (Jun)
It was a bullish end to the week for the European majors on Friday. The DAX30 rose by 0.66% to lead the way, with the CAC40 and EuroStoxx600 gaining 0.09% and 0.29% respectively.
Economic data delivered much-needed support on the day, with the European majors recovering from early losses.
Trump’s latest anti-China move had weighed on risk appetite in the early part of the European session. On Thursday night, Trump had announced a ban on transactions with the Chinese owners of TikTok and WeChat apps from late September.
It was a quieter day on the Eurozone economic calendar. Key stats included June industrial production and trade data from Germany.
The stats were skewed to the positive, with industrial production jumping by 8.9%, following a 7.4% rise in May.
Trade data also impressed, with Germany’s trade surplus widening from €7.5bn to €14.5bn at the end of the 2nd quarter.
Economic data included July’s labor market figures. Following better than expected jobless claims figures, July’s labor market numbers delivered riskier assets with further support.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 1,763k in July, which led to a fall in the unemployment rate from 11.1% to 10.2%.
For the DAX: It was a bearish day for the auto sector on Friday. Continental and Volkswagen slid by 3.28% and by 1.27% respectively. BMW and Daimler saw more modest losses of 0.38% and 0.58% respectively.
It was a mixed day for the banks, however. Deutsche Bank rose by 0.63%, while Commerzbank fell by 0.58%.
From the CAC, it was also a mixed day for the banks. Credit Agricole rose by 0.14%, while BNP Paribas and Soc Gen declined by 0.99% and by 0.03% respectively.
It was a mixed day for the French auto sector. While Peugeot slipped by 0.14%, Renault ended the day with a 1.29% gain.
Air France-KLM fell by 0.34%, while Airbus SE rose by 1.42% on the day.
It was a 6th consecutive day in the red for the VIX on Friday. Following on from a 1.48% loss on Thursday, the VIX fell by 1.94% to end the day at 22.21.
While lawmakers failed to find an agreement, the better than expected labor market figures delivered support to the U.S equity markets.
Tech stocks struggled, however, as the markets responded to Trump’s latest move against China.
The S&P500 and Dow rose by 0.06% and by 0.17% respectively, while the NASDAQ fell by 0.87%.
It’s a quiet day ahead on the Eurozone economic calendar. There are no material stats to provide the European majors with direction on the day.
A lack of stats will leave the majors in the hands of geopolitics and U.S JOLT’s job openings due out late in the European session.
Tensions between the U.S and China and the U.S COVID-19 stimulus package will need monitoring.
In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the DAX was up by 43 points, with the Dow up by 7 points.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
With over 28 years of experience in the financial industry, Bob has worked with various global rating agencies and multinational banks. Currently he is covering currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes and global equities, focusing mostly on European and Asian markets.