Following Thursday's sell-off, there are no major stats to shift the mood. Expect the European majors to take their cues from the U.S and central bank chatter.
It was a particularly bearish day for the European majors on Thursday.
The CAC40 slid by 2.01%, with the DAX30 and the EuroStoxx600 ending the day with losses of 1.73% and 1.72% respectively.
Yet more disappointing economic data from Germany and a rise in jobless claims from the U.S added to the market angst.
A dovish set of ECB minutes and a shift in the ECB’s inflation target to 2% failed to support the majors.
The continued spread of the Delta variant will have added to concerns over the sustainability of the current economic recovery.
While recent manufacturing PMI numbers from the Eurozone and member states have impressed, non-survey-based data have been less impressive.
It was another relatively quiet start to the European session. German trade data was in focus.
In May, Germany’s trade surplus narrowed from €15.2bn to €12.3bn. Economists had forecast a widening to €17.4bn.
According to Destatis,
Trade with EU countries,
Trade with non-EU countries,
It was also another quieter day on the U.S economic calendar. On the economic data front, the weekly jobless claim figures were in focus. In the week ending 2nd July, jobless claims rose from 371k to 373k. Economists had forecast claims to fall to 320k,
For the DAX: It was a bearish day for the auto sector on Thursday. Volkswagen slid by 3.02%, with Continental and Daimler ending the day down by 2.79% and by 2.42% respectively. BMW also struggled, falling by 2.18%.
It was also a bearish day for the banks. Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank saw losses of 3.39% and 1.76% respectively.
From the CAC, it was a bearish day for the banks. BNP Paribas and Soc Gen slid by 2.86% and by 3.12% respectively, with Credit Agricole falling by 1.61%.
It was also a bearish day for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV and Renault ended the day down by 3.35% and 1.59% respectively.
Air France-KLM bucked the trend, rising by 0.29%, while Airbus SE fell by a relatively modest 0.73%.
It was back into the green for the VIX on Thursday, marking just the 2nd day in the green from 6-sessions.
Reversing a 1.46% decline from Wednesday, the VIX jumped by 17.28% to end the day at 19.00.
The NASDAQ fell by 0.72%, with the Dow and the S&P500 ending the day down 0.75% and by 0.86% respectively.
It’s a particularly quiet day ahead on the economic calendar. There are no material stats to provide the European majors with direction on the day.
From the U.S, there are also no material stats to consider later in the day.
The lack of stats will leave the markets to consider the latest set of minutes from the ECB and FED and updates on the Delta variant of the coronavirus.
On the monetary policy front, ECB President Lagarde is scheduled to speak later in the day. Following the latest sell-off, any chatter on the economic outlook would likely influence.
In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was down by 4 points.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.