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European Equities: A Quiet Economic Calendar Leaves the Majors in the Hands of the U.S Markets

By:
Bob Mason
Published: Oct 3, 2021, 22:53 GMT+00:00

Economic data is on the quieter side on the day ahead. The lack of major stats will leave the European markets to take their cues from the U.S futures going into the open.

Depositphotos_63012897_s-2019

In this article:

Economic Calendar

Tuesday, 5th October

Spanish Services PMI (Sep)

Italian Services PMI (Sep)

French Services PMI (Sep)

German Services PMI (Sep) Final

Eurozone Markit Composite PMI (Sep) Final

Eurozone Services PMI (Sep) Final

Wednesday, 6th October

German Factory Orders (MoM) (Aug)

German IHS Markit Construction PMI (Sep)

Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)

Thursday, 7th October

German Industrial Production (MoM) (Aug)

Friday, 8th October

German Trade Balance (Aug)

The Majors

It was a bearish day for the European majors on Friday, following a 7-month winning streak coming to an end in September.

The CAC40 slipped by 0.04%, with the EuroStoxx600 and the DAX30 ending the day down by 0.53% and by 0.68% respectively.

A busy economic calendar failed to deliver support once more, with manufacturing sector PMI figures from the Eurozone revised downwards.

Adding to the market angst was a pickup in Eurozone inflationary pressure, according to prelim September figures.

From the U.S, positive personal spending and manufacturing sector PMIs also failed to deliver support. Persistent inflationary pressures well above the FED’s target continued to support a near-term move by the FED.

The Stats

Spain’s Manufacturing PMI fell from 59.5 to 58.1, with Italy’s down from 60.9 to 59.7 in September.

France and Germany’s PMIs were revised down from prelims, leaving the Eurozone PMI down from 58.7 to 58.6.

Prelim inflation figures pointed to a further pickup in inflationary pressure at the end of the 3rd quarter.

In September, the Eurozone’s annual rate of inflation accelerated from 3.0% to 3.4%, raising further questions over the ECB’s transitory view.

From the U.S

In September, the ISM Manufacturing PMI rose from 59.9 to 61.1, with personal spending up 0.8% in August. Personal spending had fallen by 0.1% in July.

Month-on-month, the Core PCE Price Index rose by 0.3% following a 0.3% increase in July. Year-on-year, the index increased by 3.6% after having been up by 3.6% in July.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was a mixed day for the auto sector on Friday. Continental slid by 2.16% to lead the way down, with Volkswagen falling by 0.55%. BMW and Daimler saw modest gains of 0.43% and 0.08% respectively, however.

It was a bearish day for the banks. Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank slid by 2.71% and by 2.47% respectively.

From the CAC, it was a bearish day for the banks. BNP Paribas and Soc Gen fell by 0.99% and by 0.86% respectively, with Credit Agricole declining by 1.07%.

It was a mixed day for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV ended the day down by 1.54%, while Renault rose 0.16%.

Air France-KLM partially recovered Thursday’s 7.52% slide with a 1.75% gain, with Airbus SE rising by 1.29%.

On the VIX Index

It was a back into the red for the VIX on Friday, marking the 2nd fall of the week.

Reversing a 2.57% rise from Thursday, the VIX fell by 8.60% to end the day at 21.15.

The NASDAQ rose by 0.82%, with the Dow and S&P500 ending the day up by 1.43% and by 1.15% respectively.

VIX 041021 Daily Chart

The Day Ahead

It’s a particularly quiet day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar.

There are no material stats due out from the Eurozone to provide the majors with direction.

From the U.S, factory orders from the U.S will influence later in the day, however.

With stats on the lighter side, central bank chatter and news updates from Capitol Hill will also need monitoring.

The Futures

In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was up by 91 points.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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