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European Equities: Eurozone GDP and Inflation and U.S Stats in Focus

By:
Bob Mason
Published: Oct 28, 2021, 23:07 UTC

Following a mixed session on Thursday, the focus shifts to Eurozone and member state GDP numbers ahead of key stats from the U.S. Corporate earnings will also influence, however.

Depositphotos_212162666_s-2019

In this article:

Economic Calendar

Friday, 29th October

French Consumer Spending (MoM) (Sep)

French GDP (QoQ) (Q3) 1st Estimate

German GDP (QoQ) (Q3) 1st Estimate

German GDP (YoY) (Q3) 1st Estimate

Spanish GDP (QoQ) (Q3) 1st Estimate

Italian CPI (MoM) (Oct) Prelim

Eurozone CPI y/y (Oct) Prelim

Eurozone GDP q/q (Q3) 1st Estimate

Eurozone GDP y/y (Q3) 1st Estimate

The Majors

It was a mixed day for the European majors on Thursday.

The DAX30 slipped by 0.06%, while the CAC40 and the EuroStoxx600 ended the day up by 0.75% and by 0.15% respectively.

A further pickup in inflationary pressure and earnings offset upbeat unemployment figures from German, leaving the DAX30 in the red. The ECB and earnings from elsewhere supported the rest of the majors, however.

Key from the ECB was an unchanged view on inflation, in spite of a marked rise in German and Spanish consumer prices in October.

From the U.S, weaker than expected economic growth had a relatively muted impact on the majors, with the ECB in focus.

The Stats

In October, Germany’s unemployment rate fell from 5.5% to 5.4%, following a 39k decline unemployment. Unemployment had fallen by 30k in September.

More significantly, however, was a 0.5% increase in German consumer prices in October. Germany’s annual rate of inflation accelerated from 4.1% to 4.5%, according to prelim figures.

On the monetary policy front, the ECB left policy unchanged, which was in line with expectations. Key was the ECB’s view on inflation. The ECB continued to stand by its transitory view on inflation, paring any expectations of a near-term shift on interest rate policy.

From the U.S

It was a mixed day on the economic data front.

The U.S economy expanded by 2%, quarter-on-quarter, in the 3rd quarter, falling short of expectations. In the previous quarter, the economy had expanded by 6.7%.

Jobless claims were positive, however. In the week ending 22nd October, initial jobless claims fell from 291k to 281k.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was another mixed day for the auto sector on Thursday. Volkswagen slid by 4.19% off the back of weaker than expected earnings and a negative outlook on deliveries. BMW and Daimler also saw red, falling by 1.30% and by 0.14% respectively. Continental bucked the trend, however, rising by 0.97%.

It was another bearish day for the banks. Deutsche Bank fell by 0.36%, with Commerzbank ending the day down by 1.67%.

From the CAC, it was a relatively bearish day for the banks. Credit Agricole declined by 0.15%, with BNP Paribas and Soc Gen ending the day down by 0.62% and 0.79% respectively.

It was also a bearish day for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV and Renault fell by 2.33% and by 1.39% respectively.

Air France-KLM and Airbus SE found support, however, rising by 0.30% and by 1.82% respectively.

On the VIX Index

It was back into the red for the  VIX on Thursday.

Partially reversing a 6.26% rise from Wednesday, the VIX fell by 2.65% to end the day at 16.53.

The NASDAQ rallied by 1.39%, with the Dow and the S&P500 rising by 0.68% and 0.98% respectively.

VIX 291021 Daily Chart

The Day Ahead

It’s another busy day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar. Key stats include French, German, and Eurozone prelim GDP numbers for the 3rd quarter.

Prelim Italian and Eurozone inflation figures for October will also draw interest on the day.

From the U.S, personal spending and inflation figures for September will also be key later in the session.

Away from the economic calendar, corporate earnings will also continue to influence.

The Futures

In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was down by 9 points.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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