A quiet day on the Eurozone economic calendar could leave the European majors under pressure. Forecasts for US consumer confidence figures due out later in the day are also market negative.
France Jobseekers Total JUN
German GfK Consumer Confidence AUG
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German Inflation Rate MoM Prel JUL
French GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q2
French Household Consumption MoM JUN
German GDP Growth Rate Flash Q2
French Inflation Rate YoY Prel JUL
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Eurozone GDP Growth Rate Flash Q2
Italian Inflation Rate MoM Prel JUL
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It was a mixed start to the week for the majors on Monday.
The CAC40 rose by 0.15%, while the DAX30 and the EuroStoxx600 ended the day down by 0.32% and by 0.08% respectively.
Economic data from Germany disappointed on Monday, pegging the DAX30 back at the start of the week,
In spite of the threat of the Delta variant on the economic recovery, the losses for the DAX30 and EuroStoxx600 were modest.
Market optimism towards a pickup in economic activity, supported by last week’s private sector PMIs and a dovish ECB remained key drivers.
Business sentiment figures from Germany were in focus early in the European session.
In July, the Ifo Business Climate Index fell from 103.7 to 101.2, versus a forecasted decline to 103.6.
According to the July survey,
At sector level,
New home sales figures for June were in focus that had a muted impact on the European majors.
For the DAX: It was a mixed day for the auto sector on Monday. Daimler rose by 0.03% to buck the trend. Continental slid by 1.50%, however, with BMW and Volkswagen falling by 0.40% and by 0.89% respectively.
It was a bullish day for the banks. Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank ended the day up by 0.66% and by 1.41% respectively.
From the CAC, it was a bullish day for the banks. BNP Paribas rallied by 2.25%, with Credit Agricole and Soc Gen rising by 1.73% and by 1.78% respectively.
It was also a bullish day for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV and Renault ended the day up by 0.85% and by 1.04% respectively.
Air France-KLM rallied by 2.32%, with Airbus SE rising by 0.45%.
A run of 4 consecutive days in the red came to an end for the VIX on Monday.
Partially reversing a 2.77% fall from Friday, the VIX rose by 2.21% to end the day at 17.58.
The NASDAQ eked out a 0.03% gain, with the Dow and the S&P500 both ending the day up by 0.24% respectively.
It’s a particularly quiet day ahead on the economic calendar. There are no major stats from the Eurozone to provide the majors with direction.
From the U.S, consumer confidence figures late in the day will provide the majors with direction, however.
Away from the economic calendar, corporate earnings and COVID-19 news updates will remain areas of focus.
In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was down by 130 points, with the DAX down by 71 points.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.