It's a relatively quiet start to the week. German industrial production figures will be in focus. Ahead of the open, trade data from the weekend and chatter from China will set the tone.
German Industrial Production (MoM) (Jan)
German Trade Balance (Jan)
French Non-Farm Payrolls (QoQ) (Q4)
Eurozone GDP (QoQ) (Q4) Final
Eurozone GDP (YoY) (Q4) Final
ECB Interest Rate Decision (Mar)
ECB Press Conference
German CPI (MoM) (Feb)
Spanish CPI (YoY) (Feb)
Spanish HICP (YoY) (Feb)
Eurozone Industrial Production (MoM) (Jan)
It was a bearish end to the week for the European majors on Friday.
On Friday, the DAX30 fell by 0.96%, with the CAC40 and the EuroStoxx600 ending the day with losses of 0.82% and 0.78% respectively.
Economic data from Germany and the U.S failed to reverse losses from early in the day, as U.S Treasury yields climbed further.
For the European markets, it had also been the first opportunity to respond to FED Chair Powell’s post-European session speech.
A lack of commitment to address yields led to a pullback in the U.S equities, which spilled into the European session.
It was a relatively busy day on the economic calendar on Friday. German factory orders were in focus going into the European open.
In January, factory orders increased by 1.4%, coming in ahead of a forecasted 0.7% increase. In December, orders had fallen by 1.9%.
According to Destatis,
It was a busier session, with official government labor market figures for February in focus late in the European session.
Nonfarm payrolls impressed, with a 379K jump in February. The better than expected rise took the unemployment rate down from 6.3% to 6.2%.
In January, nonfarm payrolls had risen by a more modest 166k.
For the DAX: It was a bullish day for the auto sector on Friday. Volkswagen rallied by 3.68%, with Daimler rising by 1.32%. BMW and Continental saw relatively modest gains of 0.90% and 0.45% respectively.
It was also a bullish day for the banks. Deutsche Bank rallied by 3.59%, with Commerzbank gaining by 0.92%.
From the CAC, it was a mixed day for the banks. BNP Paribas fell by 0.12%, while Credit Agricole and Soc Gen ended the day with gains of 0.87% and 0.57% respectively.
The French auto sector saw further losses. Stellantis NV and Renault fell by 1.04% and by 1.60% respectively.
Air France-KLM and Airbus SE ended the day down by 6.13% and by 4.87% respectively.
A run of 3 consecutive days in the green came to an end for the VIX on Friday. Reversing a 7.12% rise from Thursday, the VIX slid by 13.69% to end the day at 24.66.
The NASDAQ rose by 1.55%, with the Dow and S&P500 gaining by 1.85% and by 1.95% respectively.
It’s quieter day ahead on the European economic calendar. German industrial production figures for January are due out later this morning.
With little else for the markets to consider, we can expect the numbers to influence going into the European session.
From the U.S, there are no material stats to provide direction, leaving the majors in the hands of FOMC member chatter and chatter from Capitol Hill.
Ahead of the European open, any updates from China’s National People’s Congress will need considering.
Trade data from China will also set the tone.
In February, China’s U.S Dollar trade surplus widened from $78.17bn to $103.25bn. Economists had forecast a narrowing to $60.00bn.
Year-on-year, exports jumped by 60.6%, following an 18.1% increase in January. Economists had forecast a 38.9% surge.
Imports rose by 22.2%, following a 6.5% increase in January. Economists had forecast a 15.0% jump.
In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was up by 101 points with the DAX up by 133 points.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.