It's a busy day ahead for the European majors. Going into the open, market reaction to the FED and factory orders will influence. Service sector PMIs and corporate earnings will also be in focus later in the day.
German Factory Orders (MoM) (Sep)
Spanish Services PMI (Oct)
Italian Services PMI (Oct)
French Services PMI (Oct) Final
German Services PMI (Oct) Final
Eurozone Markit Composite PMI (Oct) Final
Eurozone Services PMI (Oct) Final
German Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep)
French Non-Farm Payrolls (QoQ) (Q3)
German IHS Markit Construction PMI (Oct)
Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep)
It was a relatively bullish day for the European majors on Wednesday.
The DAX30 rose by just 0.03%, with the CAC40 and the EuroStoxx600 ending the day up by 0.34% and by 0.29% respectively. For the EuroStoxx600, it was a new record close, with resources stocks delivering support.
Service sector PMI figures from China and economic data from the Eurozone provided little comfort, with the markets focused on the FED.
Economic data from the U.S and corporate earnings were market positive, however.
Eurozone unemployment was in focus early in the European session.
In September, the Eurozone’s unemployment rate fell from 7.5% to 7.4%, which was in line with forecasts.
According to the Eurostat,
From the U.S, ADP nonfarm employment change figures were in focus ahead of service sector data.
According to the ADP, nonfarm employment increased by 571k in October, following a 523k rise in September. Economists had forecast a 400K rise.
In October, the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI rose from 61.9 to a new ATH 66.7 versus a forecasted 62.0.
According to the October report,
After the European open, the FED delivered its first monetary policy decision of the final quarter.
For the DAX: It was another mixed day for the auto sector on Wednesday. Volkswagen tumbled by 4.67%, with Daimler falling by 0.13%. Continental rallied by 2.40%, however, with BMW rising by 1.68%, supported by positive earnings.
It was a bullish day for the banks. Deutsche Bank rose by 1.18%, with Commerzbank up by 0.44%.
From the CAC, it was a bullish day for the banks. BNP Paribas rose by 0.76%, with Credit Agricole and Soc Gen gaining 0.44% and 0.20% respectively.
It was also a bullish day for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV rose by 1.02%, with Renault up by 0.38%.
Air France-KLM gained 0.61%, while Airbus SE ended the day down by 2.09%.
It was a 2nd consecutive day in the red for the VIX on Wednesday.
Following a 2.32% fall on Tuesday, the VIX declined by 5.80% to end the day at 15.10.
The NASDAQ rallied by 1.04%, with the S&P500 and the Dow gaining 0.65% and 0.29% respectively.
It’s a busier day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar. German factory orders and service sector PMIs for Italy and Spain will be in focus. Finalized services and composite PMIs are also due out from France, Germany, and for the Eurozone.
Barring marked revisions to the prelim numbers, expect Italy, Spain, and the Eurozone’s PMIs along with German factory orders to be key.
Economic data from the U.S will provide direction later in the European session, with jobless claims in focus.
While the numbers will influence, market reaction to the FED’s policy decision and forward guidance will set the tone.
Away from the economic calendar, corporate earnings will also continue to influence.
In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was down by 8 points.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.