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European Equities: U.S Inflation and FOMC Member Chatter in Focus

By:
Bob Mason
Published: Aug 10, 2021, 22:32 UTC

It's a quieter day on the Eurozone economic calendar, with finalized inflation figures due out. The lack of stats will leave U.S inflation figures and FOMC chatter in focus.

Cac 40 indice in downtrend mode indicates global economy enter recession

In this article:

Economic Calendar

Wednesday, 11th August

German Inflation Rate YoY Final JUL

Italian Inflation Rate YoY Final JUL

Thursday, 12th August

Eurozone Industrial Production YoY JUN

Eurozone Industrial Production MoM JUN

Friday, 13th August

France Inflation Rate YoY Final JUL

Eurozone Balance of Trade JUN

The Majors

It was a relatively bullish day for the European majors on Tuesday.

The CAC40 and the DAX30 rose by 0.10% and by 0.16% respectively, with the EuroStoxx600 ending the day up by 0.35%.

Disappointing economic data from the Eurozone pegged back the majors. A continued spread of the Delta variant was also market negative early in the week.

Market optimism towards the Eurozone economic recovery continued to deliver support, however.

The Stats

Economic data was on the lighter side once more on Tuesday, with economic sentiment figures in focus.

Economic Sentiment

In August, Germany’s ZEW Economic Sentiment Index fell from 63.3 to 40.4, versus a forecasted decline to 55.1.

Things were not much better for the euro bloc, with the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for the Eurozone falling from 61.2 to 42.7. Economists had forecast a decline to 45.6.

From the U.S

It was a relatively quiet day on the economic calendar.

1st estimate unit labor costs and nonfarm productivity figures for the 2nd quarter were in focus.

Unit labor costs rose by 1.0%, following a 2.8% increase in the previous quarter. Nonfarm productivity increased by 2.3% after a 4.3% jump in the previous quarter.

Economists had forecast unit labor costs and nonfarm productivity to rise by 1.4% and by 3.2% respectively.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was a mixed day for the auto sector on Tuesday. BMW and Daimler fell by 0.03% and by 0.52% respectively. Continental and Volkswagen ended the day with modest gains of 0.66% and 0.12% respectively, however.

It was a bearish day for the banks. Deutsche Bank slipped by 0.14%, with Commerzbank falling by 0.90%.

From the CAC, it was a relatively bearish day for the banks. BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole fell by 0.35% and by 0.29% respectively, with Soc Gen declining by 0.63%.

It a mixed day for the French auto sector, however. Stellantis NV fell by 0.26%, while Renault rose by 0.04%.

Air France-KLM slipped by a further 0.54%, while Airbus SE ended the day up by 0.35%.

On the VIX Index

It was a 2nd consecutive day in the green for the VIX on Tuesday.

Following a 3.53% gain on Monday, the VIX rose by 0.42% to end the day at 16.79.

The NASDAQ fell by 0.49%, while the Dow and the S&P500 ended the day up by 0.46% and by 0.10% respectively.

VIX 110821 Daily Chart

The Day Ahead

It’s a particularly quiet day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar. Finalized July inflation figures for Germany and Italy are the only major stats of the day.

Barring any marked revisions, however, we don’t expect too much influence from the numbers.

From the U.S, July inflation figures due out late in the European session will influence, however.

Away from the economic calendar, central bank chatter and COVID-19 news updates will also need monitoring.

FOMC members George and Bostic are scheduled to speak in the latter part of the day.

The Futures

In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was down by 4 points.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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