Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/USD is trading at 1.2906 tumbling over 60pips after negative comments from ECB director Draghi continues to weigh on
Analysis and Recommendations:
The EUR/USD is trading at 1.2906 tumbling over 60pips after negative comments from ECB director Draghi continues to weigh on the euro. Yesterday Mr. Draghi downgraded EZ growth through 2014 and told markets that the central bank does not see expansion until sometime in 2014 which expanded beyond market expectations. Today, the US nonfarm payroll report printed well above forecast, with unemployment dipping to 7.7% and the US adding over 146K in new jobs.
A disturbing combination of events is creeping back into markets as the US fiscal cliff and debt ceiling dynamic is now being accompanied by heightened concern toward Europe’s economy.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports
Economic Data December 7, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
||
Dec. 07 |
|
AUD |
|
|
Trade Balance |
-2.09B |
-2.05B |
-1.42B |
||
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Industrial Production (MoM) |
-0.8% |
0.7% |
-2.1% |
||
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Manufacturing Production (MoM) |
-1.3% |
-0.2% |
0.1% |
||
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Industrial Production (YoY) |
-3.0% |
-0.6% |
-3.2% |
||
|
|
EUR |
|
|
ECB President Draghi Speaks |
|||||
|
|
EUR |
|
|
German Industrial Production (MoM) |
-2.6% |
-0.5% |
-1.3% |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
||
|
|
CAD |
|
|
Employment Change |
59.3K |
10.0K |
1.8K |
||
|
|
CAD |
|
|
Labor Productivity (QoQ) |
-0.5% |
-0.6% |
|||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Nonfarm Payrolls |
146K |
93K |
138K |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Unemployment Rate |
7.7% |
7.9% |
7.9% |
||
|
|
CAD |
|
|
Unemployment Rate |
7.2% |
7.0% |
7.4% |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Average Weekly Hours |
34.4 |
34.4 |
34.4 |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Private Nonfarm Payrolls |
147K |
95K |
189K |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment |
74.5 |
82.4 |
82.7 |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
There are no top tier events schedule for Monday December 10, 2012 ahead of the FOMC two day meeting traders will be watching US lawmakers as the fiscal cliff comes closer.
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Dec 10 10:10 Norway
Dec 10 10:10 Slovakia
Dec 10 15:30 UK
Dec 10 16:30 Italy
Dec 11 09:30 Spain
Dec 11 10:10 Greece
Dec 11 10:15 Austria
Dec 11 10:30 Belgium
Dec 11 10:30 UK
Dec 11 18:00 US
Dec 12 10:10 Italy
Dec 12 10:10 Sweden
Dec 12 10:30 Swiss
Dec 12 16:30 US
Dec 13 01:30 Japan
Dec 13 09:30 Spain
Dec 13 10:10 Italy
Dec 13 10:30 UK
Dec 13 16:00 US
Dec 13 18:00 US
Dec 14 11:00 Belgium
Dec 14 15:30 UK