The British pound has rallied a bit against the Japanese yen during the trading session on Thursday, bouncing from the 50 day EMA. However, it looks as if the sellers are trying to come back in and push his thing lower.
The British pound has bounced from the 50 day EMA during the trading session on Thursday, as we continue to see a lot of noisy behavior. Ultimately, this is a market that will continue to move based upon risk appetite, as the Japanese yen is considered to be a safety currency. All things been equal, the ¥155 level above should offer a significant amount of a barrier, and therefore if we were to break above it, it would change the attitude of this market completely. It would be a complete breakout, and a lot of traders would get long of this market rather quickly.
On the other hand, if we were to break down from here, I believe that the ¥152.50 level continues to be crucial, as it is a previous resistance barrier. At this point, it should now be supportive, as “market memory” comes into the picture. With this being the case, I think it is only a matter of time before we see the potential of a serious break down and risk appetite overall if we were to get below that level. The ¥150 level underneath is what I considered to be the bottom of the overall uptrend, so if we were to break down below there, I think things could be rather ugly at that point in time, having this market break apart and more than likely we would see a lot of major “risk off” behavior around the world. One thing I think you can count on is a lot of noisy behavior, but that is typically how this pair behaves anyway.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.