The British pound continues to look very soft, dropping against the Japanese yen during trading on Tuesday to kick off the session. However, we have seen a bit of support show itself right around the ¥132 level, which of course is a large figure.
The British pound fell a majority of the session on Tuesday against the Japanese yen, as we continue to see a lot of volatility and concerns. Obviously, market participants will look at this as a risk barometer as per usual, and with that I think we are probably looking at an opportunity to see some type of bounce, but that bounce should give us an opportunity to sell from a higher level. When you look at the chart, you can see that the 20 day EMA is currently crossing the ¥135 level, and I think that is an area where you can probably see a lot of selling pressure if we do bounce towards that area.
To the downside, I do believe that we will go looking towards the ¥131 level which is the 100% Fibonacci retracement level from the move higher. We are well below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, and typically that’s what you see happen. Ultimately, I do believe that it is only a matter of time before we see sellers jump in on rallies, mainly because the Brexit is a bigger mess than ever, so I don’t see why anything would change here. Ultimately, I believe the ¥135 level will be massive resistance that it’s almost impossible to break, but even if we did keep in mind that it’s more of a “zone” that extends to the ¥136 level. Because of this, I am cautiously optimistic about shorting this market, but I also recognize that headlines could come out to send British pound into spasms.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.