The British pound initially tried to rally during the trading session on Wednesday but then fell again as it looks like we are going to continue to see a lot of downward momentum.
The British pound initially shot higher during the day on Wednesday but then fell again as we continue to see the US dollar strengthen against almost everything. Because of this, it looks as if the British pound is going to continue to go much lower, perhaps opening up the possibility of breaking through the 1.16 level and going to the 1.15 level. It won’t necessarily be a straight shot down, but it’s worth noting that we are in a very negative trend, and therefore it’s difficult to imagine a scenario where we turn around and take off.
As long as the situation in the United Kingdom looks dire, and of course, we have the Federal Reserve doing everything they can to tight monetary policy, it’s difficult to imagine a scenario where the GBP/USD pair suddenly takes off to the upside. I believe that the 1.18 level above is resistance, perhaps somewhere near the 1.19 level. After that, we have the 1.20 level where the 50-Day EMA is coming into the picture, and there is a bit of market memory based on previous support.
In other words, there are a lot of different things going on between here and there that I think it’s going to be difficult to change everything. Quite frankly, we would need to see some type of massive change in fundamentals to make this appear like a reasonably bullish market. We are nowhere near there, and I think we continue to see a lot of negativity more than anything else as there is so much fear in the market right now.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.