Gold markets have fallen a bit during trading on Tuesday, testing the 200 day EMA before bouncing just a bit.
Gold markets continue to look lost, perhaps waiting for the jobs number to provide a catalyst as we are sitting in the middle of a larger consolidation area that I have marked on the chart. The $1830 level above is a significant resistance barrier, which has held for several months now. Underneath, we have the $1790 level which has been offering support, so obviously been at $1813.80 as I record this, it is not a surprise that we have nowhere to be.
Pay close attention to the US 10 year note, because of money continues to flow into it, there may come a point in time where the real yields simply are not enough, and traders start looking towards gold. That being said, we have a jobs number at the end of the week that could also have people readjusting inflation expectations, so that is something to keep in the back of your head. I do believe that it is only a matter of time before we have to make a bigger decision, and once we finally break out of this gray box on the chart, I think that it will lead to significant momentum.
Breaking above the top of the consolidation range opens up the move to $1860, which is the top of the gap. Breaking above that then allows the market to go looking towards the $1900 region. On the other hand, if we were to drop down below the $1790 level, then $1750 would more than likely be the next target, opening up the possibility of further dropping down to the $1680 level where there was a massive double bottom that was so important previously. In the meantime, short-term range bound trading is the most likely of scenarios.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.