The gold markets have rallied a bit during the trading session on Monday to reach the 200 day EMA. However, we are starting to show signs of exhaustion.
Gold markets have rallied to kick off the trading week on Monday, testing the 200 day EMA. At this point, the market looks as if it is going to continue to be noisy, and I do think that it is probably only a matter of time before we would see a bit of hesitation and/or selling off. Ultimately, this will come down to the US dollar more than anything else, and of course bond yields.
The 200 day EMA does have a certain amount of psychological importance, so it is probably worth noting that we will see traders attracted to the market in this general vicinity. That being said, the $1800 level underneath has offered a significant amount of support, so we may be trying to enter some type of consolidation phase before a recovery.
The market breaking above the highs of the trading session on Monday would be a good sign, and it would almost certainly have people aiming for the 50 day EMA. Breaking above that then has the market challenging $1900. It is a bit early to determine whether or not that can happen, but it clearly is something to keep in the back of your mind. Gold has a lot of influence being thrown upon it, and at this point, if I were to be a trader of metals, it would be gold I would be a buyer of. Fading rallies in silver are actually the more likely of trades I take, or perhaps some type of “pairs trade” when I sell silver and buy gold. All things been equal, we are a little overbought so pullback probably makes sense regardless.
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Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.