Based on the early price action, the direction of the June Comex Gold market on Wednesday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1307.90 and the downtrending Gann angle at $1306.80.
Gold futures are trading nearly flat on Wednesday as traders await the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report at 12:30 GMT and the minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve March meeting at 18:00 GMT. Consumer inflation is expected to have increased due to rising gasoline prices. The Fed minutes could move gold prices higher if there is a dovish surprise like rate cut discussion.
At 12:05 GMT, June Comex Gold is trading $1307.70, down $0.80 or -0.05%.
The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. The main trend will change to up on a trade through $1330.80. A move through $1284.90 will signal a resumption of the downtrend.
The short-term range is $1330.80 to $1284.90. The market is currently testing its retracement zone at $1307.90 to $1313.30. This zone is controlling the near-term direction of the gold market.
On the upside, the retracement zone target is $1320.50 to $1328.80. On the downside, the retracement zone target comes in at $1285.50 to $1268.90.
Based on the early price action, the direction of the June Comex Gold market on Wednesday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1307.90 and the downtrending Gann angle at $1306.80.
A sustained move over $1307.90 will indicate the presence of buyers. This could trigger a surge into the Fibonacci level at $1313.30. Sellers could come in on a test of this level. If buyers can take out this level then look for a potential acceleration into a downtrending Gann angle at $1318.80, followed by a 50% level at $1320.50.
A sustained move under $1306.80 will signal the presence of sellers. This could drive prices into an uptrending Gann angle at $1300.90. If this angle fails as support then look for the selling to possibly extend into the next uptrending Gann angle at $1292.90.
Basically, look for an upside bias to develop on a sustained move over $1307.90 and for a downside bias to develop on a sustained move under $1306.80.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.