Based on the early price action, the direction of the gold market today is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the short-term retracement zone at $1349.80 to $1344.90.
April Comex Gold futures are trading higher on Friday after a steep sell-off on Thursday in reaction to a massive recovery in the U.S. Dollar. The Greenback rose from a three-year low after President Trump said he wanted a “stronger dollar”.
The market is also in a positon to close nearly 2 percent higher for the week.
The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. The uptrend was reaffirmed on Thursday when buyers drove gold through the September 8 main top at $1370.00. The market only reached $1370.50 before sellers came in to stop the rally.
A trade through $1370.50 will signal a resumption of the uptrend. This could create enough upside momentum to take out the September 6, 2016 main top at $1373.30.
A surge through $1373.30 could lead to a test of the August 18, 2016 top at $1382.20. This is a possible trigger point for an acceleration into the August 2, 2016 main top at $1396.20.
The main trend will change to down on a move through $1329.10.
Based on the early price action, the direction of the gold market today is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the short-term retracement zone at $1349.80 to $1344.90.
A sustained move over $1349.80 will indicate the presence of buyers. This could create the upside momentum needed to challenge or even take out the main top at $1370.50.
A sustained move under $1344.90 will signal the presence of sellers. The daily chart shows there is room to break to $1329.10, followed closely by $1321.40.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.